TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088881
Played Sep 6Finished
Rafal Adach
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117411811411––
Waldemar Jozala
Away
1.86
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Adach to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
117411811411––
H2H Rafal Adach 1–0 Waldemar Jozala Waldemar Jozala has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:50What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Adach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Adach 1252 vs Jozala 1177
Adach
Wrong
both rated, 76 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adach 40% vs Jozala 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adach 60% vs Jozala 30%
Adach
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adach -1 · Jozala -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adach)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jozala form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdach 1.83 / Jozala 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adach)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13088881
Adach1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 46 of 87
Up 2–0, closes it81% 30 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it67% 38 of 57
Jozala1.86
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 20 of 77
Down 0–1, comes back10% 5 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAdach1wins
AwayJozala0wins
Adach leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAdachJozalaA − JBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match33.022.0+11.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdachJozalaBasisWin rate · lifetime238 / 575 vs 119 / 31441.4%37.9%238 / 575 vs 119 / 314Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.635.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdachAdach 1.83/Jozala 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jozala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 16:25R. Adach—1111113W. Jozala—9760
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113
W. Jozala10
LSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113LSep 6 · 18:25K. Juszczyk1.331111113W. Jozala2.957540WSep 6 · 17:10R. Ogon2.60161171W. Jozala1.4211119113LSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112WSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051LSep 2 · 18:45W. Jozala2.95971191S. Krupa1.3311118113WSep 2 · 17:35W. Jozala2.7021111113K. Juszczyk1.38117881LSep 2 · 16:25R. Adach1.911111113W. Jozala1.809760LSep 2 · 15:35W. Jozala—121175102R. Komandzik—1081111123LAug 29 · 08:00W. Pytlas1.3711811113W. Jozala2.80211791
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