TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13085402
Played Sep 6Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
1.85
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111189111012––
Rafal Adach
Away
1.85
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:19 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeRafal Adach to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
8111189111012––
H2H Roman Wiza 24–45 Rafal Adach Roman Wiza has won 24 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 01:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.85 (50%)
Adach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-45 in 69
Adach
Correct
gap of 21 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1260 vs Adach 1216
Wiza
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 20% vs Adach 40%
Adach
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Adach 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -4 · Adach +1
Wiza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Wiza) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 1.85 / Adach 1.85
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Wiza)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13085402
Wiza1.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Adach1.85
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza3wins
AwayAdach7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAdach leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza66.7%2 of 3
AwayAdach85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza3Adach7n = 10Adach took 7 of 10
S2Wiza3Adach7n = 10Adach took 7 of 10
S3Wiza5Adach5n = 10split evenly
S4Wiza3Adach3n = 6split evenly
S5Wiza1Adach2n = 3Adach took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaAdachW − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.737.2−3.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 943 vs 234 / 56842.1%41.2%397 / 943 vs 234 / 568Avg sets wonper match1.81.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.334.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WizaWiza 1.85/Adach 1.85
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Wiza · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza—1111861R. Adach—13811113
LAug 23 · 02:45R. Wiza—61090R. Adach—1112113
WAug 22 · 23:05R. Wiza—571112113R. Adach—111171042
LAug 22 · 02:45R. Wiza—117101152R. Adach—711129113
LAug 21 · 23:05R. Wiza—7950R. Adach—1111113
WJul 19 · 01:10R. Wiza—11911113R. Adach—911901
LJul 18 · 17:30R. Wiza—41111582R. Adach—119511113
WJul 18 · 01:10R. Wiza—1111113R. Adach—2760
LJul 17 · 17:30R. Wiza—951481R. Adach—111112113
LJul 12 · 03:30R. Wiza—7530R. Adach—1111113
R. Wiza10
LSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113LSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113LSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113WSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113
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