TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077836
Played Sep 5Finished
Roman Wiza
Home
3.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012119611411––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.28
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:47 and never touched — 55.6% is still 55.6%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
55.6%
55.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
1012119611411––
H2H Roman Wiza 0–4 Pawel Polok Roman Wiza has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (72%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Polok
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1322 vs Polok 1458
Polok
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 80% vs Polok 60%
Wiza
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 60% vs Polok 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza +4 · Polok -1
Wiza
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 3.25 / Polok 1.28
Signal prob.26% / 75%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077836
Wiza3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 88 of 224
Down 0–1, comes back20% 24 of 121
Down 0–2, comes back7% 5 of 72
Polok1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 63 of 102
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 49 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeWiza0wins
AwayPolok4wins
Polok leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWizan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPolok100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza1Polok3n = 4Polok took 3 of 4
S2Wiza0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S3Wiza0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away375%
These 4 meetings
MetricWizaPolokW − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match20.034.8−14.8per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime397 / 944 vs 97 / 15542.1%62.6%397 / 944 vs 97 / 155Avg sets wonper match1.82.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokWiza 3.25/Polok 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
74.5%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 30 · 03:30R. Wiza—1112381P. Polok—41411113
LAug 29 · 21:30R. Wiza—9560P. Polok—1111113
LAug 2 · 02:45R. Wiza—6270P. Polok—1111113
LAug 1 · 23:05R. Wiza—2360P. Polok—1111113
R. Wiza10
LSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113LSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123LSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 23:05R. Wiza2.101111861R. Adach1.6613811113LSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113WSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
P. Polok10
WSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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