TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078441
Played Sep 6Finished
Andrzej Szurgot
Home
4.80
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211411611––––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.13
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:58 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
211411611––––
H2H Andrzej Szurgot 0–1 Pawel Polok Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:58What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (81%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1103 vs Polok 1474
Polok
Correct
both rated, 372 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 20% vs Polok 60%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 10% vs Polok 70%
Polok
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -3 · Polok -1
Szurgot
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (60%) is below what odds imply (88%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 4.80 / Polok 1.13
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078441
Szurgot4.80
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog17% won 9 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back15% 6 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 29
Polok1.13
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 69 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it94% 34 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it82% 55 of 67
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSzurgot0wins
AwayPolok1wins
Polok leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSzurgotPolokS − PBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.046.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 69 vs 104 / 16418.8%63.4%13 / 69 vs 104 / 164Avg sets wonper match1.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match30.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokSzurgot 4.80/Polok 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.7%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot—3139111P. Polok—111111133
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113LSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
P. Polok10
LSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 6 · 01:10R. Wiza3.6610760P. Polok1.241211113LSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151WSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133WSep 5 · 21:55R. Adach3.154330P. Polok1.291111113WSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 17:30R. Wiza3.251011641P. Polok1.2812911113LSep 3 · 17:05K. Slawinski1.70512117123P. Polok1.951110811102
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