TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078443
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111188111513117
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
2.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:59 and never touched — 64.6% is still 64.6%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
64.6%
64.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
9111188111513117
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 1–0 Andrzej Szurgot Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:59What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.62 (57%)
Bernacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1400 vs Szurgot 1113
Bernacki
Correct
both rated, 288 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 60% vs Szurgot 20%
Bernacki
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 60% vs Szurgot 10%
Bernacki
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Szurgot -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Bernacki) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szurgot form (20%) is below what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.62 / Szurgot 2.17
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Bernacki)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078443
Bernacki1.62
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Szurgot2.17
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog19% won 8 of 43
Down 0–1, comes back16% 5 of 32
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBernacki1wins
AwaySzurgot0wins
Bernacki leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBernackiSzurgotB − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.027.0+17.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 526 vs 13 / 6751.9%19.4%273 / 526 vs 13 / 67Avg sets wonper match2.01.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.530.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BernackiBernacki 1.62/Szurgot 2.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Bernacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 5 · 18:20L. Bernacki—111111113A. Szurgot—313471
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113LSep 5 · 02:10A. Szurgot5.5010711101P. Gumulinski1.1312113123
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