TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13084905
Played Sep 6Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911611411––––
Robert Szymik
Away
1.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
911611411––––
H2H Lukasz Bernacki 3–7 Robert Szymik Lukasz Bernacki has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:30What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Szymik
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1400 vs Szymik 1385
Bernacki
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 60% vs Szymik 80%
Szymik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 60% vs Szymik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Szymik +3
Szymik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Szymik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 2.05 / Szymik 1.70
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Szymik)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13084905
Bernacki2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog46% won 45 of 99
Down 0–1, comes back29% 15 of 52
Down 0–2, comes back12% 4 of 34
Szymik1.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 278 of 399
Up 2–0, closes it95% 162 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it84% 213 of 254
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBernacki3wins
AwaySzymik7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBernacki25%1 of 4
AwaySzymik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bernacki4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S2Bernacki2Szymik8n = 10Szymik took 8 of 10
S3Bernacki4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S4Bernacki3Szymik3n = 6split evenly
S5Bernacki2Szymik3n = 5Szymik took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricBernackiSzymikB − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.242.2−7.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 524 vs 622 / 95051.9%65.5%272 / 524 vs 622 / 950Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikBernacki 2.05/Szymik 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.9%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 5 · 22:20L. Bernacki—1113121292R. Szymik—5151014113
LSep 5 · 24:45L. Bernacki—4330R. Szymik—1111113
LSep 4 · 21:05L. Bernacki—1113111062R. Szymik—915912113
LNov 23 · 04:05L. Bernacki—7450R. Szymik—1111113
WNov 22 · 22:05L. Bernacki—931112123R. Szymik—1111910102
LNov 22 · 04:05L. Bernacki—4380R. Szymik—1111113
WNov 21 · 22:05L. Bernacki—12118113R. Szymik—1091181
LNov 8 · 01:45L. Bernacki—11911822R. Szymik—811911113
WNov 7 · 23:20L. Bernacki—911911113R. Szymik—11311692
LJul 7 · 18:20L. Bernacki—9940R. Szymik—1111113
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113WSep 5 · 20:45L. Bernacki1.5181112113R. Adach2.331191081LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
R. Szymik10
WSep 6 · 04:20R. Szymik1.191111113R. Wiza4.058880WSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 01:55R. Szymik1.689111381P. Polok2.0711615113WSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162WSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 19:55R. Szymik1.9512970P. Polok1.751411113WSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza3.752470R. Szymik1.211111113LSep 5 · 17:55R. Szymik1.26811681R. Adach3.3511611113LSep 5 · 04:20R. Szymik1.28611101152R. Wiza3.25118126113
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