TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13083880
Played Sep 5Finished
Lukasz Bernacki
Home
1.51
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
8111191210118––
Rafal Adach
Away
2.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:18 and never touched — 56.7% is still 56.7%
Graded at full timeLukasz Bernacki to win
56.7%
56.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
8111191210118––
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:18What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Bernacki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Bernacki 1395 vs Adach 1206
Bernacki
Correct
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bernacki 60% vs Adach 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bernacki 50% vs Adach 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Bernacki -1 · Adach +3
Adach
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Bernacki) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adach form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBernacki 1.51 / Adach 2.33
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Bernacki)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13083880
Bernacki1.51
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 65 of 104
Up 2–0, closes it95% 41 of 43
Up 1–0, closes it81% 51 of 63
Adach2.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 85 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back17% 24 of 142
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 85
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBernackiAdachBasisWin rate · lifetime270 / 521 vs 232 / 56351.8%41.2%270 / 521 vs 232 / 563Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.534.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
BernackiBernacki 1.51/Adach 2.33
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.7%
Bernacki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bernacki won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Bernacki10
LSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113LSep 6 · 03:30L. Bernacki1.704111061R. Wiza2.0011912113WSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 24:45L. Bernacki2.059640R. Szymik1.701111113WSep 5 · 23:30L. Bernacki2.40111011173P. Polok1.503124151LSep 5 · 22:20R. Szymik1.805151014113L. Bernacki1.851113121292WSep 5 · 21:30R. Wiza2.708680L. Bernacki1.391111113LSep 5 · 19:10L. Bernacki2.196860P. Polok1.581111113WSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113WSep 5 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.5381111113J. Michalski2.38119631
R. Adach10
LSep 6 · 20:45R. Adach1.83114841W. Jozala1.8671111113LSep 6 · 19:10R. Adach3.00441181K. Juszczyk1.3211116113WSep 6 · 18:00R. Adach1.5411101011133R. Ogon2.25612123112LSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113LSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123WSep 6 · 05:05L. Bernacki1.8571270R. Adach1.801114113WSep 6 · 03:55R. Adach3.3518118113P. Polok1.271661181WSep 6 · 02:45R. Wiza1.858119101R. Adach1.8511811123WSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113LSep 5 · 23:55R. Szymik1.231110118113R. Adach3.6581271162
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