TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076924
Played Sep 4Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1171178111210––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:41 and never touched — 76.2% is still 76.2%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
76.2%
76.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Andrzej Szurgot below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 77 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 76.2%
77 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1438 vs Szurgot 1108
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 330 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Szurgot 20%
Sokolowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 70% vs Szurgot 20%
Sokolowski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +4 · Szurgot +1
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Sokolowski) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szurgot form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.40 / Szurgot 2.75
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Sokolowski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13076924
Sokolowski1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Szurgot2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 6 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime208 / 494 vs 11 / 5242.1%21.2%208 / 494 vs 11 / 52Avg sets wonper match1.81.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.131.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.40/Szurgot 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.1%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokolowski won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113
Upcoming Matches
O. Sokolowski
A. Szurgot
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