TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13071920
Played Sep 4Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012118611116115
Piotr Gumulinski
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:07 and never touched — 60.4% is still 60.4%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
60.4%
60.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Piotr Gumulinski below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 91 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 60.4%
91 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 0–4 Piotr Gumulinski Oliwier Sokolowski has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:07What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Gumulinski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Gumulinski
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1375 vs Gumulinski 1406
Gumulinski
Wrong
both rated, 31 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 80% vs Gumulinski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 60% vs Gumulinski 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +2 · Gumulinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 40% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gumulinski form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 2.50 / Gumulinski 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Gumulinski)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13071920
Sokolowski2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 106 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back19% 34 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 110
Gumulinski1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite59% won 336 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it92% 154 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it75% 228 of 306
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSokolowski0wins
AwayGumulinski4wins
Gumulinski leads 4–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowskin = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayGumulinski100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski0Gumulinski4n = 4Gumulinski took 4 of 4
S2Sokolowski2Gumulinski2n = 4split evenly
S3Sokolowski1Gumulinski3n = 4Gumulinski took 3 of 4
S4Sokolowski0Gumulinski3n = 3Gumulinski took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricSokolowskiGumulinskiS − GBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set04−4of 4Avg pointsper match29.038.5−9.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiGumulinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime206 / 492 vs 1008 / 179641.9%56.1%206 / 492 vs 1008 / 1796Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiSokolowski 2.50/Gumulinski 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 16 · 07:10O. Sokolowski—10930P. Gumulinski—1211113
LJun 28 · 08:20O. Sokolowski—611991P. Gumulinski—11611113
LMay 31 · 03:10O. Sokolowski—611351P. Gumulinski—11611113
LMay 28 · 06:25O. Sokolowski—6711101P. Gumulinski—11118123
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 18:55O. Sokolowski1.7311711123M. Adamus2.008119101WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
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