TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13076560
Played Sep 4Finished
Oliwier Sokolowski
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1187111191210––
Mariusz Adamus
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:58 and never touched — 54.3% is still 54.3%
Graded at full timeOliwier Sokolowski to win
54.3%
54.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOliwier Sokolowski above · Mariusz Adamus below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 79 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oliwier Sokolowski at 54.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Oliwier Sokolowski 9–10 Mariusz Adamus Oliwier Sokolowski has won 9 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 08:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Sokolowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-10 in 19
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokolowski 1441 vs Adamus 1274
Sokolowski
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokolowski 100% vs Adamus 40%
Sokolowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokolowski 80% vs Adamus 50%
Sokolowski
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokolowski +5 · Adamus -2
Sokolowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Sokolowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sokolowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokolowski 1.73 / Adamus 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Sokolowski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13076560
Sokolowski1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it94% 32 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it80% 51 of 64
Adamus2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog41% won 179 of 433
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 225
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokolowski6wins
AwayAdamus4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSokolowski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokolowski66.7%4 of 6
AwayAdamus50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokolowski6Adamus4n = 10Sokolowski took 6 of 10
S2Sokolowski5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S3Sokolowski4Adamus6n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Sokolowski6Adamus1n = 7Sokolowski took 6 of 7
S5Sokolowski1Adamus2n = 3Adamus took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokolowskiAdamusS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.835.5+1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokolowskiAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 495 vs 781 / 161442.2%48.4%209 / 495 vs 781 / 1614Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SokolowskiSokolowski 1.73/Adamus 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Sokolowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokolowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 14 · 10:20O. Sokolowski—11118133M. Adamus—6911111
LAug 13 · 05:30O. Sokolowski—4980M. Adamus—1111113
WAug 12 · 23:10O. Sokolowski—1111113M. Adamus—8580
LAug 12 · 07:10O. Sokolowski—11971182M. Adamus—611114113
WJul 28 · 21:20O. Sokolowski—611711113M. Adamus—11711792
WJul 28 · 15:25O. Sokolowski—91111113M. Adamus—116661
LJun 23 · 09:25O. Sokolowski—11411452M. Adamus—311611113
LJun 23 · 03:25O. Sokolowski—6730M. Adamus—1111113
WJun 15 · 01:10O. Sokolowski—121011113M. Adamus—1012871
WJun 7 · 23:35O. Sokolowski—11119113M. Adamus—891171
O. Sokolowski10
LSep 5 · 08:20P. Zemla1.511111113O. Sokolowski2.408950LSep 5 · 07:35W. Pytlas1.5511119113O. Sokolowski2.25561191WSep 5 · 05:35R. Adach2.2495100O. Sokolowski1.551111123LSep 5 · 04:50J. Jesiek1.95116117113O. Sokolowski1.7061161192WSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 20:30O. Sokolowski1.6711711352M. Baron2.10411711113WSep 4 · 17:45O. Sokolowski1.4011118123A. Szurgot2.757711101WSep 4 · 16:15O. Sokolowski1.83111159113K. Schaniel1.8367111182WSep 4 · 15:00O. Sokolowski2.501011611113P. Gumulinski1.5012811652WSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371
M. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100LSep 5 · 01:00M. Adamus1.57411881G. Sawicki2.2511911113WSep 4 · 23:45M. Adamus1.5081111133A. Szurgot2.351186111WSep 4 · 22:10M. Adamus1.831111113K. Schaniel1.836680LSep 4 · 21:00M. Adamus1.801111751P. Gumulinski1.9171311113LSep 4 · 19:40K. Schaniel1.83117811113M. Adamus1.8381111652LSep 4 · 18:10M. Adamus1.80871311112M. Baron1.911111119133
Upcoming Matches
O. Sokolowski
M. Adamus
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.