TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087171
Played Sep 7Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 7
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10129111161315––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:39 and never touched — 55.3% is still 55.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
55.3%
55.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 87 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 55.3%
87 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 24–9 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 9 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:39What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Schaniel
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-9 in 33
Schaniel
Wrong
gap of 15 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1358 vs Przewlocki 1348
Schaniel
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 100% vs Przewlocki 20%
Schaniel
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 70% vs Przewlocki 40%
Schaniel
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel +5 · Przewlocki +1
Schaniel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.73 / Przewlocki 2.00
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13087171
Schaniel1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 217 of 366
Up 2–0, closes it90% 102 of 114
Up 1–0, closes it77% 161 of 209
Przewlocki2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 90
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel6wins
AwayPrzewlocki4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSchaniel leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel100%5 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Schaniel6Przewlocki4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S3Schaniel7Przewlocki3n = 10Schaniel took 7 of 10
S4Schaniel4Przewlocki4n = 8split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielPrzewlockiS − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.537.6+1.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime876 / 1745 vs 507 / 106850.2%47.5%876 / 1745 vs 507 / 1068Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.73/Przewlocki 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 12:40K. Schaniel—9127111P. Przewlocki—111011133
WAug 31 · 06:30K. Schaniel—11411113P. Przewlocki—811781
WAug 26 · 09:50K. Schaniel—1111133P. Przewlocki—78110
WAug 26 · 05:40K. Schaniel—10111011113P. Przewlocki—12612792
WAug 3 · 11:00K. Schaniel—111011113P. Przewlocki—912691
LAug 3 · 06:30K. Schaniel—8121181P. Przewlocki—11147113
WJul 24 · 21:00K. Schaniel—111310123P. Przewlocki—61112101
LJul 24 · 16:35K. Schaniel—71111552P. Przewlocki—116611113
WJul 7 · 21:00K. Schaniel—1111133P. Przewlocki—76110
LJul 7 · 16:35K. Schaniel—871131P. Przewlocki—11115113
K. Schaniel10
LSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670WSep 5 · 24:35K. Schaniel1.571111113A. Szurgot2.256870
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123WSep 2 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.2051181322P. Przewlocki1.611131111113WSep 2 · 06:05P. Przewlocki2.201111113K. Adamus1.619970
Upcoming Matches
K. Schaniel
P. Przewlocki
Sep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.53R. Niemiec2.38—Sep 7 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.10M. Adamus1.67—Sep 7 · 09:25P. Przewlocki1.91W. Urban1.80—Sep 7 · 11:00P. Przewlocki2.38K. Hetnar1.53—Sep 7 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.10M. Adamus1.67—Sep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.53R. Niemiec2.38—Sep 7 · 14:40P. Przewlocki1.61J. Kaczmarek2.20—
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