TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058767
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.20
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119119117––––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:14 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 58 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Kacper Adamus at 60.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 12–13 Kacper Adamus Piotr Przewlocki has won 12 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:14What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-13 in 25
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1335 vs Adamus 1393
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 20% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -3 · Adamus +1
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.20 / Adamus 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 59%
Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058767
Przewlocki2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 124 of 320
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 90
Adamus1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 359 of 592
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 286 of 367
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki8wins
AwayAdamus2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki83.3%5 of 6
AwayAdamus25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki6Adamus4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S2Przewlocki7Adamus3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki6Adamus4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki3Adamus3n = 6split evenly
S5Przewlocki3Adamus0n = 3Przewlocki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusP − ABasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.736.7+3.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime508 / 1076 vs 930 / 171947.2%54.1%508 / 1076 vs 930 / 1719Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusPrzewlocki 2.20/Adamus 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.5%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki—1151111113K. Adamus—91113992
WSep 2 · 06:05P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—9970
WJul 29 · 02:10P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—4870
WJul 28 · 20:05P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—9660
LJun 30 · 12:20P. Przewlocki—147981K. Adamus—121111113
WJun 30 · 08:20P. Przewlocki—1115118183K. Adamus—1313711162
WMay 28 · 22:00P. Przewlocki—61111113K. Adamus—117981
LMay 10 · 05:35P. Przewlocki—5590K. Adamus—1111113
WApr 14 · 12:45P. Przewlocki—812118113K. Adamus—111081162
WApr 14 · 10:20P. Przewlocki—11117113K. Adamus—841191
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992
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