TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062224
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1195111113119119
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:13 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 101 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Kacper Adamus at 60.9%
101 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 11–13 Kacper Adamus Piotr Przewlocki has won 11 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:13What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-13 in 24
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 2 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1335 vs Adamus 1447
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 113 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 20% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 30% vs Adamus 70%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -4 · Adamus +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 2.10 / Adamus 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Adamus)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13062224
Przewlocki2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 314
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 190
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 89
Adamus1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 352 of 579
Up 2–0, closes it98% 193 of 198
Up 1–0, closes it78% 282 of 363
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrzewlocki7wins
AwayAdamus3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki80%4 of 5
AwayAdamus40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki5Adamus5n = 10split evenly
S2Przewlocki7Adamus3n = 10Przewlocki took 7 of 10
S3Przewlocki6Adamus4n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Przewlocki2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusP − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.435.2+2.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime509 / 1078 vs 931 / 171947.2%54.2%509 / 1078 vs 931 / 1719Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusPrzewlocki 2.10/Adamus 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.6%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 06:05P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—9970
WJul 29 · 02:10P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—4870
WJul 28 · 20:05P. Przewlocki—1111113K. Adamus—9660
LJun 30 · 12:20P. Przewlocki—147981K. Adamus—121111113
WJun 30 · 08:20P. Przewlocki—1115118183K. Adamus—1313711162
WMay 28 · 22:00P. Przewlocki—61111113K. Adamus—117981
LMay 10 · 05:35P. Przewlocki—5590K. Adamus—1111113
WApr 14 · 12:45P. Przewlocki—812118113K. Adamus—111081162
WApr 14 · 10:20P. Przewlocki—11117113K. Adamus—841191
LDec 27 · 06:05P. Przewlocki—95120K. Adamus—1111143
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.7591111592P. Gumulinski1.40117911113LSep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10661371P. Brozek1.67111111113LSep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.804890W. Urban1.911111113WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650LSep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.7512810M. Durda1.251411113WSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.7311134113R. Niemiec2.008111191WSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182
K. Adamus10
LSep 8 · 05:05O. Jadach1.911115410113K. Adamus1.80713111292LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113WSep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.7575130K. Adamus1.361111153LSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133WSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123WSep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.7011118113P. Kurek2.05651171LSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961WSep 7 · 19:30G. Marud2.10741151K. Adamus1.6011119113LSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582
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