Grzegorz Marud vs Kacper Adamus 1-3

TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series

TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093714

Played Sep 7Finished

Grzegorz Marud

Home

2.10

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

Final

1 – 3

Set by set

711411119511––

Kacper Adamus

Away

1.60

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

4–6Last 10Lost last 1

The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 57.6% is still 57.6%

Graded at full time

Kacper Adamus to win

57.6%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is going

Point-by-point unavailable

BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.

69 points played in total.

Set by set

711411119511––

H2H Grzegorz Marud 7–7 Kacper Adamus Dead even across their 14 meetings.

Last 10 · 7–3Head to head

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 16:03

What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.60 (57%)

Adamus

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

7-7 in 14

—

Too close

gap of 0, under the gap of 2

Rating (G2)

Marud 1374 vs Adamus 1387

Adamus

Correct

both rated, 13 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Marud 60% vs Adamus 60%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Marud 40% vs Adamus 40%

—

Too close

0pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Marud -1 · Adamus -1

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Marud form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsMarud 2.10 / Adamus 1.60

Signal prob.42% / 58%

Edge (Adamus)+0.8pp

TT Elite Series · #13093714

Marud2.10

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As underdog41% won 130 of 317

Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 173

Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 107

Adamus1.60

40%won 4 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite61% won 360 of 590

Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201

Up 1–0, closes it78% 287 of 367

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeMarud7wins

AwayAdamus3wins

2 of 10 to a deciderMarud leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeMarud77.8%7 of 9

AwayAdamusn = 1, below the 3 needed

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Marud9Adamus1n = 10Marud took 9 of 10

S2Marud5Adamus5n = 10split evenly

S3Marud6Adamus4n = 10Marud took 6 of 10

S4Marud4Adamus4n = 8split evenly

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home440%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away00%

These 10 meetings

MetricMarudAdamusM − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.935.5+5.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricMarudAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime638 / 1361 vs 919 / 170546.9%53.9%638 / 1361 vs 919 / 1705Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.638.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Adamus

Marud 2.10/Adamus 1.60

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

57.6%

Adamus · sealed before the serve

What happened

1–3

Adamus won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

LAug 3 · 21:05G. Marud—11911642K. Adamus—511611113

WJul 21 · 24:10G. Marud—1111189113K. Adamus—98201192

WJul 20 · 20:20G. Marud—11119113K. Adamus—671191

WJul 14 · 04:20G. Marud—111114113K. Adamus—981641

LJul 13 · 18:45G. Marud—119791K. Adamus—91111113

LJul 29 · 24:45G. Marud—581181K. Adamus—11117113

WJul 28 · 22:20G. Marud—1111113K. Adamus—8750

WJul 15 · 03:55G. Marud—11914113K. Adamus—4111281

WJul 14 · 21:55G. Marud—1211113K. Adamus—10740

WJun 25 · 01:10G. Marud—11611113K. Adamus—211761

G. Marud10

WSep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon2.359850G. Marud1.541111113 LSep 7 · 18:20G. Marud2.25811571O. Jadach1.5411411113 WSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651 WSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113 LSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422 WSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121 LSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113 LSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113 LSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541 WSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113

K. Adamus10

LSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582 WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121 WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162 LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113 WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740 LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113 WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113 LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111 LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123 LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113

Upcoming Matches

G. Marud1 of 8 neutral

Sep 7 · 21:05G. Marud1.50J. Nowak2.31—Sep 7 · 22:40G. Marud1.83P. Kurek1.83—Sep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.51M. Sikon2.28—Sep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.11K. Adamus1.60—Sep 8 · 01:50G. Marud2.24O. Jadach1.53—Sep 8 · 03:05G. Marud1.50J. Nowak2.31—Sep 8 · 04:40G. Marud1.82P. Kurek1.82—Sep 8 · 15:00G. Marud—P. Adamus——

K. Adamus

Sep 7 · 20:45K. Adamus1.85O. Jadach1.80—Sep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.62P. Kurek2.07—Sep 7 · 23:05K. Adamus1.36M. Sikon2.75—Sep 7 · 23:50K. Adamus1.37J. Nowak2.70—Sep 8 · 01:10K. Adamus1.60G. Marud2.11—Sep 8 · 02:10K. Adamus1.36M. Sikon2.75—Sep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.62P. Kurek2.07—Sep 8 · 05:05K. Adamus1.95O. Jadach1.70—

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