TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093708
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911811511––––
Grzegorz Marud
Away
1.54
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Marud to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
55 points played in total.
Set by set
911811511––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 6–4 Grzegorz Marud Grzegorz Marud has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (60%)
Marud
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Sikon
Wrong
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1316 vs Marud 1363
Marud
Correct
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 20% vs Marud 40%
Marud
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 10% vs Marud 40%
Marud
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +1 · Marud -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Marud)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Marud form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.35 / Marud 1.54
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Marud)-0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093708
Sikon2.35
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 84 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Marud1.54
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite54% won 134 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it86% 81 of 94
Up 1–0, closes it69% 107 of 156
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon6wins
AwayMarud4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSikon leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon100%5 of 5
AwayMarud80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon5Marud5n = 10split evenly
S2Sikon4Marud6n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S3Sikon6Marud4n = 10Sikon took 6 of 10
S4Sikon4Marud6n = 10Marud took 6 of 10
S5Sikon3Marud0n = 3Sikon took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonMarudS − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.441.9−3.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonMarudBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 367 vs 638 / 136137.3%46.9%137 / 367 vs 638 / 1361Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MarudSikon 2.35/Marud 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60%
Marud · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Marud won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 7 · 01:30M. Sikon—3128121G. Marud—111011143
WSep 6 · 19:30M. Sikon—111265113G. Marud—710111162
WSep 1 · 24:50M. Sikon—841113113G. Marud—111191182
WAug 31 · 17:30M. Sikon—11611113G. Marud—811971
WAug 4 · 21:45M. Sikon—111118123G. Marud—811511102
LAug 4 · 17:45M. Sikon—581181G. Marud—11118113
LJul 28 · 03:30M. Sikon—741131G. Marud—11118113
LJul 27 · 21:30M. Sikon—5151011G. Marud—111312113
WJul 13 · 23:50M. Sikon—111111143G. Marud—8913121
WJul 13 · 17:55M. Sikon—11711113G. Marud—811441
M. Sikon10
WSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon1.86911711113J. Nowak1.8311811782LSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon2.301174111P. Kurek1.5291111133LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580
G. Marud10
LSep 7 · 19:30G. Marud2.10741151K. Adamus1.6011119113LSep 7 · 18:20G. Marud2.25811571O. Jadach1.5411411113WSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:05M. Baron1.785990G. Marud1.931111113LSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 7 · 24:20G. Marud2.0111711382L. Oracz1.73711711113LSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113LSep 6 · 21:05M. Baron1.8551211113G. Marud1.851110541WSep 6 · 20:20L. Oracz1.70125131022G. Marud1.9910111112113
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
G. Marud1 of 8 neutral
Sep 7 · 21:05G. Marud1.50J. Nowak2.31—Sep 7 · 22:40G. Marud1.83P. Kurek1.83—Sep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.51M. Sikon2.28—Sep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.11K. Adamus1.60—Sep 8 · 01:50G. Marud2.24O. Jadach1.53—Sep 8 · 03:05G. Marud1.50J. Nowak2.31—Sep 8 · 04:40G. Marud1.82P. Kurek1.82—Sep 8 · 15:00G. Marud—P. Adamus——
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