TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13090352
Played Sep 7Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
1.86
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118711117118
Jakub Nowak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:57 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeJakub Nowak to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
94 points played in total.
Set by set
911118711117118
H2H Mateusz Sikon 7–8 Jakub Nowak Mateusz Sikon has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Nowak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-8 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1305 vs Nowak 1322
Nowak
Wrong
both rated, 17 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 0% vs Nowak 60%
Nowak
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 10% vs Nowak 60%
Nowak
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon -5 · Nowak +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nowak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sikon form (0%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 1.86 / Nowak 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nowak)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13090352
Sikon1.86
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 84 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Nowak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite55% won 73 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it69% 51 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSikon4wins
AwayNowak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderNowak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikon50%2 of 4
AwayNowak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon4Nowak6n = 10Nowak took 6 of 10
S2Sikon8Nowak2n = 10Sikon took 8 of 10
S3Sikon5Nowak5n = 10split evenly
S4Sikon3Nowak5n = 8Nowak took 5 of 8
S5Sikon2Nowak4n = 6Nowak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSikonNowakS − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.943.3−1.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 366 vs 672 / 173737.2%38.7%136 / 366 vs 672 / 1737Avg sets wonper match1.71.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.237.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NowakSikon 1.86/Nowak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nowak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Sikon won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 08:45M. Sikon—1013118113J. Nowak—121181162
WSep 1 · 22:25M. Sikon—1511113J. Nowak—13890
LSep 1 · 03:30M. Sikon—751191J. Nowak—11115113
LAug 31 · 21:30M. Sikon—135101192J. Nowak—1111127113
LAug 5 · 24:35M. Sikon—51161382J. Nowak—1181111113
LJul 31 · 11:50M. Sikon—711791J. Nowak—11811113
WJul 31 · 03:50M. Sikon—1011611113J. Nowak—12911992
WJul 28 · 04:20M. Sikon—1111113J. Nowak—7770
LJul 27 · 18:45M. Sikon—81312972J. Nowak—11111011113
LJul 25 · 09:25M. Sikon—11114872J. Nowak—681111113
M. Sikon10
LSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon2.301174111P. Kurek1.5291111133LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 02:45L. Oracz1.7561112113M. Sikon1.981171081LSep 7 · 01:30G. Marud1.42111011143M. Sikon2.603128121LSep 6 · 23:55M. Baron1.80111111113M. Sikon1.90134761LSep 6 · 23:05L. Oracz1.411111113M. Sikon2.605660LSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113LSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:30G. Marud1.38710111162M. Sikon2.75111265113
J. Nowak10
LSep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak2.201010130P. Kurek1.571212153WSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582WSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192WSep 7 · 06:30K. Schaniel1.731594992J. Nowak2.001311119113LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070WSep 7 · 24:45S. Krupa1.571197101J. Nowak2.2591111123LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971
Upcoming Matches
M. Sikon
Sep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon2.35G. Marud1.54—Sep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon3.05O. Jadach1.29—Sep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.75K. Adamus1.36—Sep 8 · 24:10M. Sikon2.28G. Marud1.51—Sep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon2.32P. Kurek1.49—Sep 8 · 02:10M. Sikon2.75K. Adamus1.36—Sep 8 · 03:30M. Sikon2.95O. Jadach1.31—Sep 8 · 04:20M. Sikon1.83J. Nowak1.81—
J. Nowak
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