TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13089587
Played Sep 7Finished
Sebastian Krupa
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1199117111012––
Jakub Nowak
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:41 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeSebastian Krupa to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
80 points played in total.
Set by set
1199117111012––
H2H Sebastian Krupa 18–11 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 11 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 22:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Krupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
18-11 in 29
Krupa
Wrong
gap of 7 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krupa 1472 vs Nowak 1302
Krupa
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krupa 100% vs Nowak 0%
Krupa
Wrong
100pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krupa 90% vs Nowak 30%
Krupa
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krupa +5 · Nowak -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Krupa) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (0%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrupa 1.57 / Nowak 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Krupa)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13089587
Krupa1.57
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 105 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it92% 48 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it76% 76 of 100
Nowak2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog36% won 241 of 672
Down 0–1, comes back21% 86 of 407
Down 0–2, comes back9% 21 of 236
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrupa8wins
AwayNowak2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrupa leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrupa83.3%5 of 6
AwayNowak25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krupa6Nowak4n = 10Krupa took 6 of 10
S2Krupa7Nowak3n = 10Krupa took 7 of 10
S3Krupa6Nowak4n = 10Krupa took 6 of 10
S4Krupa4Nowak3n = 7Krupa took 4 of 7
S5Krupa4Nowak1n = 5Krupa took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrupaNowakK − NBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.836.7+6.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrupaNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime295 / 584 vs 671 / 173550.5%38.7%295 / 584 vs 671 / 1735Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrupaKrupa 1.57/Nowak 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Krupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 11 · 21:35S. Krupa—9111112113J. Nowak—11591432
WJun 29 · 02:20S. Krupa—1111113J. Nowak—5740
WJun 28 · 20:20S. Krupa—91111113J. Nowak—115881
WJun 20 · 05:05S. Krupa—1111123J. Nowak—84100
WMay 10 · 21:35S. Krupa—7111312113J. Nowak—113151072
WMay 10 · 15:35S. Krupa—117511123J. Nowak—711118102
WMay 3 · 06:45S. Krupa—1131018113J. Nowak—311121672
LApr 30 · 21:10S. Krupa—118861J. Nowak—81111113
LFeb 26 · 01:45S. Krupa—91111872J. Nowak—116911113
WJan 2 · 09:00S. Krupa—1111113J. Nowak—9780
S. Krupa10
LSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 6 · 23:35S. Krupa2.1011119123J. Pruszkowski1.608311101WSep 6 · 22:25P. Adamus1.60111114442S. Krupa2.151391211113WSep 6 · 21:35S. Krupa1.241111113R. Ogon3.506540WSep 6 · 20:20R. Ogon3.85712751S. Krupa1.20111011113WSep 6 · 19:35W. Jozala2.90511771S. Krupa1.3511811113WSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:50K. Juszczyk1.74118691S. Krupa1.9561111113WSep 6 · 15:10R. Adach2.7076100S. Krupa1.391111123LSep 2 · 20:20S. Krupa2.0091241172K. Juszczyk1.711110111113
J. Nowak10
LSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130LSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113LSep 7 · 03:50J. Nowak2.2511173882J. Pruszkowski1.579151111113WSep 7 · 02:20J. Nowak2.251112113J. Pruszkowski1.5781070LSep 7 · 24:00P. Adamus1.4712911113J. Nowak2.401011971WSep 6 · 23:10J. Nowak1.3413116113R. Ogon2.901181181LSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113LSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571LSep 5 · 13:30J. Nowak2.389111371W. Wojtaszczyk1.5311915113LSep 5 · 12:15P. Jedrzejak1.2541111143J. Nowak3.751146121
Upcoming Matches
S. Krupa
Nothing scheduled
J. Nowak
Sep 7 · 06:30J. Nowak2.00K. Schaniel1.73—Sep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91R. Niemiec1.80—Sep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 7 · 18:45J. Nowak—M. Sikon——Sep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak—P. Kurek——Sep 7 · 21:05J. Nowak—G. Marud——Sep 7 · 22:20J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak—K. Adamus——Sep 8 · 24:30J. Nowak—O. Jadach——Sep 8 · 01:30J. Nowak—P. Kurek——
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