TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074506
Played Sep 4Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121012119911––
Kacper Adamus
Away
2.34
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:58 and never touched — 62.3% is still 62.3%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
62.3%
62.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
10121012119911––
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 41–18 Kacper Adamus Kacper Adamus has won 18 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-18 in 59
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 23 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1541 vs Adamus 1375
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 165 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 80% vs Adamus 20%
Hetnar
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 80% vs Adamus 30%
Hetnar
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar +3 · Adamus -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (20%) is below what odds imply (43%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.51 / Adamus 2.34
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hetnar)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13074506
Hetnar1.51
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 256 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it98% 143 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 211 of 248
Adamus2.34
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog49% won 119 of 243
Down 0–1, comes back23% 27 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar6wins
AwayAdamus4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHetnar leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar100%6 of 6
AwayAdamus100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar6Adamus4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S2Hetnar6Adamus4n = 10Hetnar took 6 of 10
S3Hetnar9Adamus1n = 10Hetnar took 9 of 10
S4Hetnar2Adamus3n = 5Adamus took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarAdamusH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.534.0+4.5per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime726 / 1174 vs 929 / 171861.8%54.1%726 / 1174 vs 929 / 1718Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.51/Adamus 2.34
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
63.2%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 16:25K. Hetnar—1611113K. Adamus—14750
WJul 22 · 15:55K. Hetnar—1111113K. Adamus—5990
LJul 22 · 09:55K. Hetnar—51280K. Adamus—1114113
LJul 9 · 20:45K. Hetnar—851191K. Adamus—11114113
LJul 8 · 13:55K. Hetnar—101111972K. Adamus—126711113
WJul 8 · 07:55K. Hetnar—1112113K. Adamus—71070
WJun 30 · 13:10K. Hetnar—14811123K. Adamus—12113101
WJun 30 · 05:30K. Hetnar—11711113K. Adamus—611941
LJun 24 · 15:30K. Hetnar—911121382K. Adamus—1161015113
WJun 24 · 09:30K. Hetnar—1411113K. Adamus—12790
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113WSep 3 · 20:00K. Hetnar1.83411911113S. Szostok1.8611511872
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113LSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891
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