TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13073088
Played Sep 3Finished
Krzysztof Hetnar
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
411115911118117
Sebastian Szostok
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
411115911118117
H2H Krzysztof Hetnar 10–23 Sebastian Szostok Krzysztof Hetnar has won 10 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 19:12What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hetnar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-23 in 33
Szostok
Wrong
gap of 13 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hetnar 1532 vs Szostok 1364
Hetnar
Correct
both rated, 168 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hetnar 80% vs Szostok 40%
Hetnar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hetnar 60% vs Szostok 40%
Hetnar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hetnar -1 · Szostok +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hetnar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szostok form (40%) is below what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHetnar 1.83 / Szostok 1.86
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hetnar)+3.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13073088
Hetnar1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 256 of 374
Up 2–0, closes it98% 143 of 146
Up 1–0, closes it85% 211 of 248
Szostok1.86
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog48% won 76 of 158
Down 0–1, comes back28% 25 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back10% 5 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHetnar4wins
AwaySzostok6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSzostok leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHetnar60%3 of 5
AwaySzostok80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hetnar5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S2Hetnar5Szostok5n = 10split evenly
S3Hetnar4Szostok6n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S4Hetnar3Szostok4n = 7Szostok took 4 of 7
S5Hetnar2Szostok3n = 5Szostok took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHetnarSzostokH − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.140.8−0.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHetnarSzostokBasisWin rate · lifetime722 / 1169 vs 931 / 157161.8%59.3%722 / 1169 vs 931 / 1571Avg sets wonper match2.32.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.640.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarHetnar 1.83/Szostok 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Hetnar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 09:00K. Hetnar—83111132S. Szostok—111189113
LAug 26 · 04:30K. Hetnar—611511102S. Szostok—119116123
WAug 24 · 11:50K. Hetnar—511117113S. Szostok—11581162
WAug 24 · 03:50K. Hetnar—1112118113S. Szostok—51411192
LAug 7 · 12:15K. Hetnar—61090S. Szostok—1112113
LAug 7 · 08:35K. Hetnar—109140S. Szostok—1211163
LJul 14 · 13:30K. Hetnar—121110942S. Szostok—1091211113
WJul 14 · 07:20K. Hetnar—1211113S. Szostok—10840
WJun 15 · 12:40K. Hetnar—141111113S. Szostok—1261391
LJun 15 · 06:30K. Hetnar—1199101S. Szostok—61111123
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113
S. Szostok10
LSep 7 · 08:45P. Mecik3.4011811113S. Szostok1.28811891WSep 7 · 07:30R. Skotniczny1.8511891142S. Szostok1.85511118113LSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 5 · 14:40S. Szostok1.5061311113J. Nowak2.501111571WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok2.2011311113P. Jedrzejak1.611111351LSep 5 · 11:50S. Szostok1.837640J. Wieczerzak1.831111113WSep 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.9111611113Z. Sobkow1.80511631LSep 5 · 09:00S. Szostok2.109911101W. Wojtaszczyk1.6711115123WSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113WSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113
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