TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13086237
Played Sep 6Finished
Pawel Slosarczyk
Home
4.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1311119114––––
Krzysztof Hetnar
Away
1.18
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:07 and never touched — 72.2% is still 72.2%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Hetnar to win
72.2%
72.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
1311119114––––
H2H Pawel Slosarczyk 1–15 Krzysztof Hetnar Pawel Slosarczyk has won 1 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 06:07What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (78%)
Hetnar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-15 in 16
Hetnar
Wrong
gap of 14 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slosarczyk 1259 vs Hetnar 1449
Hetnar
Wrong
both rated, 190 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Hetnar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slosarczyk 40% vs Hetnar 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Slosarczyk -1 · Hetnar -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Hetnar) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hetnar form (40%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlosarczyk 4.10 / Hetnar 1.18
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Hetnar)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13086237
Slosarczyk4.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog32% won 103 of 325
Down 0–1, comes back14% 27 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 117
Hetnar1.18
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 261 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it98% 146 of 149
Up 1–0, closes it85% 213 of 250
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSlosarczyk1wins
AwayHetnar9wins
Hetnar leads 9–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlosarczyk33.3%1 of 3
AwayHetnar100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slosarczyk3Hetnar7n = 10Hetnar took 7 of 10
S2Slosarczyk2Hetnar8n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S3Slosarczyk2Hetnar8n = 10Hetnar took 8 of 10
S4Slosarczyk0Hetnar4n = 4Hetnar took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSlosarczykHetnarS − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match23.535.9−12.4per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlosarczykHetnarBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 813 vs 719 / 117038.3%61.5%311 / 813 vs 719 / 1170Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HetnarSlosarczyk 4.10/Hetnar 1.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
84%
Hetnar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slosarczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk—1311113K. Hetnar—11940
LJul 14 · 11:25P. Slosarczyk—117461K. Hetnar—91111113
LJul 14 · 05:15P. Slosarczyk—411631K. Hetnar—11911113
LJun 26 · 05:10P. Slosarczyk—11160K. Hetnar—1113113
LApr 21 · 23:35P. Slosarczyk—661141K. Hetnar—11117113
LDec 30 · 08:10P. Slosarczyk—41030K. Hetnar—1112113
LNov 2 · 19:00P. Slosarczyk—11660K. Hetnar—1311113
LSep 4 · 05:35P. Slosarczyk—8990K. Hetnar—1111113
LSep 3 · 04:20P. Slosarczyk—113731K. Hetnar—81111113
LJul 19 · 08:20P. Slosarczyk—3460K. Hetnar—1111113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.8091111622P. Slosarczyk1.91118911113LSep 5 · 13:30J. Jesiek1.60811117113P. Slosarczyk2.1511381172WSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113LSep 5 · 11:05R. Piechnik1.66881111113P. Slosarczyk2.0511117882
K. Hetnar10
LSep 6 · 08:20K. Juszczyk1.9811711143K. Hetnar1.756117121LSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861LSep 6 · 04:50R. Idaczyk2.951111153K. Hetnar1.3554130WSep 6 · 03:10W. Pytlas2.1668100K. Hetnar1.591111123LSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113WSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852WSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113WSep 3 · 20:00K. Hetnar1.83411911113S. Szostok1.8611511872
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