TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13082626
Played Sep 5Finished
Jakub Jesiek
Home
1.60
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811113118711117
Pawel Slosarczyk
Away
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:53 and never touched — 65.6% is still 65.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Jesiek to win
65.6%
65.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
811113118711117
H2H Jakub Jesiek 13–6 Pawel Slosarczyk Pawel Slosarczyk has won 6 of their 19 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Jesiek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-6 in 19
Jesiek
Correct
gap of 7 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jesiek 1323 vs Slosarczyk 1187
Jesiek
Correct
both rated, 136 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jesiek 20% vs Slosarczyk 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jesiek 40% vs Slosarczyk 20%
Jesiek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jesiek -4 · Slosarczyk +1
Jesiek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Jesiek) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slosarczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJesiek 1.60 / Slosarczyk 2.15
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Jesiek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13082626
Jesiek1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 95 of 169
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it76% 70 of 92
Slosarczyk2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 98 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back15% 27 of 186
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 114
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJesiek8wins
AwaySlosarczyk2wins
Jesiek leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJesiek100%6 of 6
AwaySlosarczyk50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jesiek6Slosarczyk4n = 10Jesiek took 6 of 10
S2Jesiek8Slosarczyk2n = 10Jesiek took 8 of 10
S3Jesiek9Slosarczyk1n = 10Jesiek took 9 of 10
S4Jesiek3Slosarczyk2n = 5Jesiek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricJesiekSlosarczykJ − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match35.926.7+9.2per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJesiekSlosarczykBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 509 vs 306 / 80452.5%38.1%267 / 509 vs 306 / 804Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.535.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JesiekJesiek 1.60/Slosarczyk 2.15
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.3%
Jesiek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jesiek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 11 · 13:30J. Jesiek—81112113P. Slosarczyk—1171091
WJul 11 · 07:20J. Jesiek—131111113P. Slosarczyk—155891
LJun 14 · 23:35J. Jesiek—811631P. Slosarczyk—11611113
WApr 20 · 01:35J. Jesiek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—4990
LApr 19 · 19:35J. Jesiek—7101181P. Slosarczyk—11127113
WMar 29 · 16:50J. Jesiek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—8240
WMar 23 · 02:35J. Jesiek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—7320
WMar 22 · 20:35J. Jesiek—11911113P. Slosarczyk—611831
WMar 9 · 03:45J. Jesiek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—4370
WMar 8 · 19:25J. Jesiek—1111113P. Slosarczyk—8870
J. Jesiek10
WSep 6 · 14:20P. Jedrzejak1.444460J. Jesiek2.631111113LSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882LSep 6 · 11:25Z. Sobkow1.7371111113J. Jesiek2.00119581WSep 6 · 10:35J. Wieczerzak1.4089100J. Jesiek2.751111123LSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 08:10P. Jedrzejak1.5311881172J. Jesiek2.38511119113LSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670WSep 6 · 05:15Z. Sobkow1.4481190J. Jesiek2.631113113LSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281WSep 6 · 03:00J. Wieczerzak1.36117131192J. Jesiek3.00811155113
P. Slosarczyk10
WSep 6 · 08:45W. Pytlas1.371111111042P. Slosarczyk2.75136612113WSep 6 · 07:35P. Slosarczyk4.101311113K. Hetnar1.1811940LSep 6 · 06:25R. Idaczyk1.8581111123P. Slosarczyk1.851135101WSep 6 · 05:10K. Juszczyk1.309580P. Slosarczyk3.101111113LSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111WSep 5 · 17:05M. Lach1.303660P. Slosarczyk3.201111113LSep 5 · 15:55P. Slosarczyk1.95610131192W. Buczynski1.741112117113WSep 5 · 14:45R. Piechnik1.8091111622P. Slosarczyk1.91118911113WSep 5 · 11:55R. Idaczyk1.85491181P. Slosarczyk1.8211118113LSep 5 · 11:05R. Piechnik1.66881111113P. Slosarczyk2.0511117882
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