TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093676
Played Sep 8Finished
Mateusz Sikon
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7115111315––––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:56 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
7115111315––––
H2H Mateusz Sikon 2–7 Kacper Adamus Mateusz Sikon has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Adamus beat Sikon 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:56What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (67%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-7 in 9
Adamus
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sikon 1294 vs Adamus 1404
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sikon 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sikon 20% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sikon +1 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (60%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSikon 2.75 / Adamus 1.36
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Adamus)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093676
Sikon2.75
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 84 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back14% 22 of 163
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 104
Adamus1.36
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
As favourite61% won 360 of 590
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 287 of 367
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSikon2wins
AwayAdamus7wins
3 of 9 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSikonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayAdamus87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sikon1Adamus8n = 9Adamus took 8 of 9
S2Sikon3Adamus6n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S3Sikon2Adamus7n = 9Adamus took 7 of 9
S4Sikon1Adamus3n = 4Adamus took 3 of 4
S5Sikon2Adamus1n = 3Sikon took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away556%
These 9 meetings
MetricSikonAdamusS − ABasisWins27−5in 9 meetingsFirst set18−7of 9Avg pointsper match32.839.3−6.5per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSikonAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime138 / 372 vs 923 / 171137.1%54%138 / 372 vs 923 / 1711Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusSikon 2.75/Adamus 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
71.3%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon—99100K. Adamus—1111123
WAug 7 · 01:35M. Sikon—119811113K. Adamus—91111562
LAug 1 · 06:25M. Sikon—1211761K. Adamus—14911113
WJul 28 · 23:45M. Sikon—1011117143K. Adamus—126811122
LJul 28 · 15:50M. Sikon—7660K. Adamus—1111113
LJul 14 · 02:10M. Sikon—81111982K. Adamus—119811113
LJul 13 · 23:05M. Sikon—91170K. Adamus—1113113
LJun 26 · 21:45M. Sikon—8460K. Adamus—1111113
LJun 26 · 17:45M. Sikon—4850K. Adamus—1111113
M. Sikon10
LSep 8 · 03:30O. Jadach1.4711911113M. Sikon2.45611441WSep 8 · 24:50M. Sikon1.7611911113P. Kurek1.96811881LSep 8 · 24:10G. Marud1.5111115113M. Sikon2.28581171LSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 21:30M. Sikon2.808390O. Jadach1.391111113LSep 7 · 20:20M. Sikon2.359850G. Marud1.541111113WSep 7 · 18:45M. Sikon1.86911711113J. Nowak1.8311811782LSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon2.301174111P. Kurek1.5291111133LSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123
K. Adamus10
LSep 8 · 03:55K. Adamus1.708670P. Kurek1.911111113LSep 8 · 01:10G. Marud2.001111123K. Adamus1.7278100WSep 7 · 23:50J. Nowak2.70114119112K. Adamus1.37911811133WSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123WSep 7 · 21:55K. Adamus1.7011118113P. Kurek2.05651171LSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961WSep 7 · 19:30G. Marud2.10741151K. Adamus1.6011119113LSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162
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