TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093700
Played Sep 7Finished
Kacper Adamus
Home
1.70
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116115811117––
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.05
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 56.5% is still 56.5%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
56.5%
56.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
116115811117––
H2H Kacper Adamus 7–11 Pawel Kurek Kacper Adamus has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (55%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-11 in 18
Kurek
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1388 vs Kurek 1433
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 60% vs Kurek 80%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Kurek 70%
Kurek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Kurek +3
Kurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (49%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.70 / Kurek 2.05
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Adamus)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13093700
Adamus1.70
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 360 of 590
Up 2–0, closes it98% 196 of 201
Up 1–0, closes it78% 287 of 367
Kurek2.05
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 115 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayKurek7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus50%3 of 6
AwayKurek100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Kurek4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus4Kurek6n = 10Kurek took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Kurek3n = 6split evenly
S5Adamus0Kurek3n = 3Kurek took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKurekA − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.536.2+0.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime920 / 1707 vs 382 / 76053.9%50.3%920 / 1707 vs 382 / 760Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.70/Kurek 2.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.1%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 16:20K. Adamus—1111113P. Kurek—7890
LSep 1 · 06:45K. Adamus—7860P. Kurek—1111113
LAug 25 · 14:45K. Adamus—81191132P. Kurek—118116113
WAug 25 · 11:05K. Adamus—1111113P. Kurek—7920
LAug 18 · 06:25K. Adamus—1210891P. Kurek—101211113
LAug 4 · 04:20K. Adamus—811811112P. Kurek—116112133
WAug 3 · 18:45K. Adamus—1111113P. Kurek—7850
LJul 28 · 21:45K. Adamus—11971192P. Kurek—911116113
LJul 28 · 17:45K. Adamus—126851P. Kurek—101111113
LJul 16 · 16:25K. Adamus—981191P. Kurek—11119113
K. Adamus10
WSep 7 · 23:05M. Sikon2.7599100K. Adamus1.361111123LSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961WSep 7 · 19:30G. Marud2.10741151K. Adamus1.6011119113LSep 7 · 17:55J. Nowak2.401161113113K. Adamus1.5051171582WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 23:30O. Jadach1.581711512113P. Kurek2.20199111072WSep 7 · 22:40G. Marud1.85116912162P. Kurek1.856111110183WSep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak2.201010130P. Kurek1.571212153WSep 7 · 19:10O. Jadach1.559101491P. Kurek2.25111212113WSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon2.301174111P. Kurek1.5291111133LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113
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