TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093716
Played Sep 7Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.55
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
91110121412911––
Pawel Kurek
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:03 and never touched — 61.0% is still 61.0%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
61.0%
61.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
88 points played in total.
Set by set
91110121412911––
H2H Oskar Jadach 3–0 Pawel Kurek Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.55 (59%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1471 vs Kurek 1420
Jadach
Wrong
both rated, 51 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 80% vs Kurek 40%
Jadach
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Kurek 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +2 · Kurek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.55 / Kurek 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Jadach)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093716
Jadach1.55
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 310 of 467
Up 2–0, closes it94% 143 of 152
Up 1–0, closes it85% 212 of 250
Kurek2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 115 of 297
Down 0–1, comes back23% 39 of 172
Down 0–2, comes back7% 7 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeJadach3wins
AwayKurek0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderJadach leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S2Jadach1Kurek2n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S3Jadach3Kurek0n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S4Jadach3Kurek0n = 3Jadach took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricJadachKurekJ − KBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match44.035.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime798 / 1319 vs 381 / 75960.5%50.2%798 / 1319 vs 381 / 759Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.55/Kurek 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WMay 17 · 13:10O. Jadach—1071111113P. Kurek—12117782
WMay 17 · 05:30O. Jadach—101111113P. Kurek—126681
WJan 31 · 08:35O. Jadach—11611113P. Kurek—511391
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 20:45O. Jadach1.8071111113K. Adamus1.85118961WSep 7 · 18:20G. Marud2.25811571O. Jadach1.5411411113WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580
P. Kurek10
WSep 7 · 19:55J. Nowak2.201010130P. Kurek1.571212153WSep 7 · 17:30M. Sikon2.301174111P. Kurek1.5291111133LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113
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