TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13092359
Played Sep 8Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
3.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214811111––––
Michal Durda
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:30 and never touched — 79.4% is still 79.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
79.4%
79.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 57 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Michal Durda at 79.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 1–5 Michal Durda Piotr Przewlocki has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Durda
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1350 vs Durda 1613
Durda
Correct
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Durda 100%
Durda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Durda 90%
Durda
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki +3 · Durda +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Durda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 3.75 / Durda 1.25
Signal prob.21% / 79%
Edge (Durda)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13092359
Przewlocki3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 125 of 321
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 90
Durda1.25
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite78% won 179 of 229
Up 2–0, closes it98% 89 of 91
Up 1–0, closes it93% 125 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePrzewlocki1wins
AwayDurda5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderDurda leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlockin = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDurda100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki2Durda4n = 6Durda took 4 of 6
S2Przewlocki2Durda4n = 6Durda took 4 of 6
S3Przewlocki1Durda5n = 6Durda took 5 of 6
S4Przewlocki2Durda2n = 4split evenly
S5Przewlocki1Durda2n = 3Durda took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiDurdaP − DBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match37.743.7−6.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 1063 vs 188 / 24047.6%78.3%506 / 1063 vs 188 / 240Avg sets wonper match2.02.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.540.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaPrzewlocki 3.75/Durda 1.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LAug 19 · 13:55P. Przewlocki—5890M. Durda—1111113
LAug 19 · 04:10P. Przewlocki—7680M. Durda—1111113
LAug 18 · 13:55P. Przewlocki—156111192M. Durda—171199113
LAug 18 · 04:10P. Przewlocki—811101152M. Durda—116127113
WAug 4 · 13:55P. Przewlocki—111157113M. Durda—69111172
LAug 4 · 04:10P. Przewlocki—1115871M. Durda—91711113
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.001111113R. Idaczyk1.735650WSep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.2011181241P. Przewlocki1.6182014113WSep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.7311134113R. Niemiec2.008111191WSep 7 · 12:15M. Adamus2.0011114982P. Przewlocki1.73641111113LSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113
M. Durda10
WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101WSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123WSep 1 · 18:55M. Durda1.061317113I. Szymanski8.00111570WSep 1 · 17:45M. Durda1.911112113O. Jadach1.8091080WSep 1 · 16:15M. Durda1.20111111113G. Marud4.33313691WSep 1 · 15:00M. Durda1.57511911113S. Szostok2.2511911642
Upcoming Matches
P. Przewlocki
Sep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10P. Brozek1.67—Sep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki4.33M. Durda1.20—Sep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.91P. Brozek1.80—Sep 8 · 13:55P. Przewlocki2.00R. Idaczyk1.73—
M. Durda
Sep 8 · 04:30M. Durda1.40P. Brozek2.75—Sep 8 · 05:15M. Durda1.28R. Idaczyk3.50—Sep 8 · 07:20M. Durda1.57P. Gumulinski2.25—Sep 8 · 08:10M. Durda1.40W. Urban2.75—Sep 8 · 09:00M. Durda1.34P. Brozek2.80—Sep 8 · 10:35M. Durda1.20P. Przewlocki4.33—Sep 8 · 11:25M. Durda1.23R. Idaczyk3.45—Sep 8 · 13:30M. Durda1.57P. Gumulinski2.25—Sep 8 · 14:20M. Durda—W. Urban——
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