TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057814
Played Sep 1Finished
Michal Durda
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191210118––––
Oskar Jadach
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:44 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMichal Durda above · Oskar Jadach below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 61 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 54.4%
61 points played in total.
H2H Michal Durda 1–3 Oskar Jadach Michal Durda has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:44What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Jadach
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-3 in 4
Jadach
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Durda 1590 vs Jadach 1496
Durda
Correct
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Durda 80% vs Jadach 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Durda 80% vs Jadach 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Durda +3 · Jadach +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jadach form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDurda 1.91 / Jadach 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Durda)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13057814
Durda1.91
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Jadach1.80
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 299 of 450
Up 2–0, closes it94% 139 of 148
Up 1–0, closes it85% 205 of 241
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeDurda1wins
AwayJadach3wins
Jadach leads 3–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDurdan = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayJadach100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Durda1Jadach3n = 4Jadach took 3 of 4
S2Durda0Jadach4n = 4Jadach took 4 of 4
S3Durda2Jadach2n = 4split evenly
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricDurdaJadachD − JBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match32.533.5−1.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDurdaJadachBasisWin rate · lifetime181 / 232 vs 795 / 131178%60.6%181 / 232 vs 795 / 1311Avg sets wonper match2.62.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaDurda 1.91/Jadach 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 24 · 13:10M. Durda—10121191O. Jadach—12146113
LAug 24 · 05:30M. Durda—8890O. Jadach—1111113
LAug 20 · 14:20M. Durda—7790O. Jadach—1111113
WAug 20 · 06:20M. Durda—11711113O. Jadach—511541
M. Durda10
WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101WSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123WSep 1 · 18:55M. Durda1.061317113I. Szymanski8.00111570WSep 1 · 16:15M. Durda1.20111111113G. Marud4.33313691WSep 1 · 15:00M. Durda1.57511911113S. Szostok2.2511911642WAug 24 · 16:40W. Buczynski5.9071112101M. Durda1.0911614123
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Durda
Nothing scheduled
O. Jadach
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