TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059415
Played Sep 1Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711811411––––
Michal Durda
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:06 and never touched — 54.4% is still 54.4%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
54.4%
54.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingOskar Jadach above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 52 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Oskar Jadach at 54.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Oskar Jadach 3–2 Michal Durda Michal Durda has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:06What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-2 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1489 vs Durda 1584
Durda
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 60% vs Durda 80%
Durda
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 70% vs Durda 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach +1 · Durda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Durda) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 2.50 / Durda 1.44
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Durda)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13059415
Jadach2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog50% won 105 of 210
Down 0–1, comes back28% 33 of 120
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Durda1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite78% won 171 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it92% 119 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeJadach3wins
AwayDurda2wins
Jadach leads 3–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach100%3 of 3
AwayDurdan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach3Durda2n = 5Jadach took 3 of 5
S2Jadach4Durda1n = 5Jadach took 4 of 5
S3Jadach2Durda3n = 5Durda took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricJadachDurdaJ − DBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match32.232.8−0.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime794 / 1310 vs 183 / 23560.6%77.9%794 / 1310 vs 183 / 235Avg sets wonper match2.22.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.840.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaJadach 2.50/Durda 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.9%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 1 · 17:45O. Jadach—91080M. Durda—1112113
WAug 24 · 13:10O. Jadach—12146113M. Durda—10121191
WAug 24 · 05:30O. Jadach—1111113M. Durda—8890
WAug 20 · 14:20O. Jadach—1111113M. Durda—7790
LAug 20 · 06:20O. Jadach—511541M. Durda—11711113
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113
M. Durda10
WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 01:00I. Szymanski7.5013109121M. Durda1.07111211143WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123WSep 1 · 18:55M. Durda1.061317113I. Szymanski8.00111570WSep 1 · 17:45M. Durda1.911112113O. Jadach1.8091080WSep 1 · 16:15M. Durda1.20111111113G. Marud4.33313691WSep 1 · 15:00M. Durda1.57511911113S. Szostok2.2511911642WAug 24 · 16:40W. Buczynski5.9071112101M. Durda1.0911614123
Upcoming Matches
O. Jadach
M. Durda
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