TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058308
Played Sep 2Finished
Igor Szymanski
Home
7.50
At publish
Lost last 8Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
131110129111214––
Michal Durda
Away
1.07
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:14 and never touched — 90.5% is still 90.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Durda to win
90.5%
90.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingIgor Szymanski above · Michal Durda below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-14
Point 92 set 4, 12-14 — our read held Michal Durda at 90.5%
92 points played in total.
H2H Igor Szymanski 1–10 Michal Durda Igor Szymanski has won 1 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 10:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Durda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-10 in 11
Durda
Correct
gap of 9 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Szymanski 1163 vs Durda 1605
Durda
Correct
both rated, 442 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szymanski 0% vs Durda 80%
Durda
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szymanski 10% vs Durda 80%
Durda
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szymanski -5 · Durda +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Durda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Durda form (80%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzymanski 7.50 / Durda 1.07
Signal prob.10% / 91%
Edge (Durda)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13058308
Szymanski7.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 8
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog22% won 73 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back11% 25 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back3% 5 of 156
Durda1.07
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite78% won 171 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it98% 84 of 86
Up 1–0, closes it92% 119 of 129
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzymanski1wins
AwayDurda9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDurda leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzymanski0%0 of 3
AwayDurda85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szymanski3Durda7n = 10Durda took 7 of 10
S2Szymanski3Durda7n = 10Durda took 7 of 10
S3Szymanski1Durda9n = 10Durda took 9 of 10
S4Szymanski1Durda5n = 6Durda took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzymanskiDurdaS − DBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.240.2−11.0per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzymanskiDurdaBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 359 vs 186 / 23822.8%78.2%82 / 359 vs 186 / 238Avg sets wonper match1.32.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.340.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DurdaSzymanski 7.50/Durda 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.5%
Durda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Durda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 18:55I. Szymanski—111570M. Durda—1317113
LAug 6 · 15:55I. Szymanski—1091171M. Durda—12118113
LAug 6 · 09:55I. Szymanski—10270M. Durda—1211113
LJul 24 · 10:35I. Szymanski—11119582M. Durda—581111113
LJul 24 · 03:00I. Szymanski—8350M. Durda—1111113
LJul 16 · 14:40I. Szymanski—113531M. Durda—91111113
LJul 16 · 06:05I. Szymanski—145921M. Durda—121111113
LJul 3 · 22:55I. Szymanski—512851M. Durda—111011113
LJul 3 · 16:55I. Szymanski—6960M. Durda—1111113
WJun 28 · 13:30I. Szymanski—711011113M. Durda—11611782
I. Szymanski10
LSep 3 · 13:55I. Szymanski3.757370R. Gajda1.251111113LSep 3 · 12:40I. Szymanski3.407890O. Vincenec1.301111113WSep 3 · 11:25I. Szymanski1.441114113K. Kowalski2.6331280LSep 3 · 10:10P. Kurek1.28681111123I. Szymanski3.50111167102LSep 3 · 09:25I. Szymanski3.0081111962M. Sikon1.36118911113LSep 3 · 08:10O. Vincenec1.2871111113I. Szymanski3.50119881LSep 3 · 07:20M. Sikon1.4411119113I. Szymanski2.63541131WSep 3 · 05:15K. Kowalski2.63341151I. Szymanski1.4411117113LSep 3 · 04:30P. Kurek1.301114113I. Szymanski3.4021260LSep 3 · 03:00R. Gajda1.256111110113I. Szymanski3.7511131282
M. Durda10
WSep 2 · 01:45G. Marud4.3349111282M. Durda1.201111910113WSep 2 · 24:10M. Durda1.281212123K. Schaniel3.501010100WSep 1 · 22:35M. Durda1.6111139123S. Szostok2.2051111101WSep 1 · 21:45O. Jadach2.507840M. Durda1.441111113LSep 1 · 20:30M. Durda1.146149101K. Schaniel5.00111211123WSep 1 · 18:55M. Durda1.061317113I. Szymanski8.00111570WSep 1 · 17:45M. Durda1.911112113O. Jadach1.8091080WSep 1 · 16:15M. Durda1.20111111113G. Marud4.33313691WSep 1 · 15:00M. Durda1.57511911113S. Szostok2.2511911642WAug 24 · 16:40W. Buczynski5.9071112101M. Durda1.0911614123
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