TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088104
Played Sep 7Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116114411911811
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:42 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMariusz Adamus above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 86 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Mariusz Adamus at 56.2%
86 points played in total.
H2H Mariusz Adamus 24–21 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Adamus beat Przewlocki 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 14:42What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Przewlocki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-21 in 45
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1319 vs Przewlocki 1324
Przewlocki
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 80% vs Przewlocki 0%
Adamus
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 70% vs Przewlocki 30%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus -1 · Przewlocki -5
Przewlocki
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Przewlocki) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (0%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.00 / Przewlocki 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Przewlocki)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13088104
Adamus2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 177 of 430
Down 0–1, comes back22% 50 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back10% 12 of 120
Przewlocki1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 127 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus5wins
AwayPrzewlocki5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayPrzewlocki60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Przewlocki5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S3Adamus4Przewlocki6n = 10Przewlocki took 6 of 10
S4Adamus6Przewlocki3n = 9Adamus took 6 of 9
S5Adamus2Przewlocki2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusPrzewlockiA − PBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.142.10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime788 / 1624 vs 507 / 107148.5%47.3%788 / 1624 vs 507 / 1071Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiAdamus 2.00/Przewlocki 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Przewlocki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 28 · 23:20M. Adamus—4116131P. Przewlocki—11811153
WJul 28 · 17:20M. Adamus—1161011113P. Przewlocki—71112482
LJul 26 · 15:05M. Adamus—12514151P. Przewlocki—141112173
LJul 26 · 09:05M. Adamus—11115972P. Przewlocki—981111113
LJul 14 · 22:10M. Adamus—8990P. Przewlocki—1111113
WJul 14 · 19:40M. Adamus—101311113P. Przewlocki—1211691
WJul 2 · 12:45M. Adamus—11612113P. Przewlocki—6111061
WJul 2 · 10:20M. Adamus—1191011113P. Przewlocki—81112772
WJun 27 · 10:35M. Adamus—81111113P. Przewlocki—119891
LJun 27 · 03:00M. Adamus—11891162P. Przewlocki—611115113
M. Adamus10
LSep 7 · 13:55W. Urban1.80111177113M. Adamus1.9167111162WSep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00116681M. Adamus1.7371111113LSep 7 · 10:35M. Adamus1.8013960R. Niemiec1.911511113WSep 7 · 09:50K. Hetnar1.61511119102M. Adamus2.20115611123WSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161WSep 7 · 06:55M. Adamus2.3851111123J. Pruszkowski1.531197101WSep 7 · 05:40M. Adamus2.101113113J. Nowak1.6761130WSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113WSep 5 · 02:35M. Adamus1.671111123M. Baron2.1098100
P. Przewlocki10
WSep 7 · 13:30P. Przewlocki1.7311134113R. Niemiec2.008111191LSep 7 · 11:00K. Hetnar1.531311112113P. Przewlocki2.38111381192LSep 7 · 09:25W. Urban1.80127148113P. Przewlocki1.911011121182LSep 7 · 08:35M. Adamus1.6711119113P. Przewlocki2.10591161LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus2 of 2 neutral
P. Przewlocki
Sep 7 · 14:40P. Przewlocki1.61J. Kaczmarek2.20—Sep 8 · 03:00P. Przewlocki3.75M. Durda1.25—Sep 8 · 04:10P. Przewlocki2.00R. Idaczyk1.73—Sep 8 · 05:40P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 06:55P. Przewlocki2.10P. Brozek1.67—Sep 8 · 08:35P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 09:50P. Przewlocki1.80W. Urban1.91—Sep 8 · 10:35P. Przewlocki3.75M. Durda1.25—Sep 8 · 12:15P. Przewlocki2.75P. Gumulinski1.40—Sep 8 · 13:05P. Przewlocki2.10P. Brozek1.67—
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.