TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087665
Played Sep 7Finished
Piotr Przewlocki
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119911611115811
Rafal Niemiec
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:39 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Przewlocki to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Przewlocki above · Rafal Niemiec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 92 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Piotr Przewlocki at 62.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Przewlocki 7–2 Rafal Niemiec Rafal Niemiec has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:39What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Przewlocki
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Przewlocki
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Przewlocki 1356 vs Niemiec 1307
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 49 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Przewlocki 60% vs Niemiec 40%
Przewlocki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Przewlocki 50% vs Niemiec 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Przewlocki -1 · Niemiec -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Przewlocki)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrzewlocki 1.53 / Niemiec 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Przewlocki)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13087665
Przewlocki1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite58% won 127 of 220
Up 2–0, closes it94% 49 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it74% 83 of 113
Niemiec2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 22 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back28% 8 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomePrzewlocki7wins
AwayNiemiec2wins
7 of 9 to a deciderPrzewlocki leads 7–2, and 7 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrzewlocki66.7%2 of 3
AwayNiemiec16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Przewlocki3Niemiec6n = 9Niemiec took 6 of 9
S2Przewlocki6Niemiec3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S3Przewlocki5Niemiec4n = 9Przewlocki took 5 of 9
S4Przewlocki6Niemiec3n = 9Przewlocki took 6 of 9
S5Przewlocki5Niemiec2n = 7Przewlocki took 5 of 7
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home556%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricPrzewlockiNiemiecP − NBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match47.647.2+0.4per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrzewlockiNiemiecBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 1068 vs 156 / 25647.4%60.9%506 / 1068 vs 156 / 256Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match38.439.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrzewlockiPrzewlocki 1.53/Niemiec 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62%
Przewlocki · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Niemiec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki—11961182R. Niemiec—911115113
WAug 26 · 12:40P. Przewlocki—111165113R. Niemiec—89111192
WAug 26 · 06:30P. Przewlocki—9111110143R. Niemiec—119912122
WAug 5 · 13:05P. Przewlocki—761211113R. Niemiec—111110872
WAug 5 · 06:55P. Przewlocki—111111113R. Niemiec—139981
WJul 3 · 15:55P. Przewlocki—7121111123R. Niemiec—1110139102
LJul 3 · 09:55P. Przewlocki—712117122R. Niemiec—1110911143
WJun 22 · 10:35P. Przewlocki—1011511113R. Niemiec—12911792
WJun 22 · 03:00P. Przewlocki—111011113R. Niemiec—812781
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123WSep 2 · 06:55J. Kaczmarek2.2051181322P. Przewlocki1.611131111113
R. Niemiec10
LSep 7 · 08:10J. Nowak1.91111575113R. Niemiec1.80913111192LSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:30J. Pruszkowski1.571111113R. Niemiec2.257950WSep 7 · 03:00M. Adamus1.8381111692R. Niemiec1.83117611113LSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113WSep 4 · 15:30R. Niemiec2.2512611113O. Jadach1.571011471LSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113LSep 4 · 11:30R. Niemiec2.25119791S. Szostok1.5531111113WSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113
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