TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077239
Played Sep 5Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115116117––––
Grzegorz Sawicki
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:08 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Grzegorz Sawicki below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 51 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 61.7%
51 points played in total.
H2H Krzysztof Schaniel 8–7 Grzegorz Sawicki Grzegorz Sawicki has won 7 of their 15 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:08What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-7 in 15
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1288 vs Sawicki 1247
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 40% vs Sawicki 80%
Sawicki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 30% vs Sawicki 50%
Sawicki
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel +1 · Sawicki +4
Sawicki
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sawicki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.61 / Sawicki 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13077239
Schaniel1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 216 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it89% 101 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 208
Sawicki2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog32% won 118 of 373
Down 0–1, comes back18% 46 of 251
Down 0–2, comes back8% 12 of 161
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchaniel5wins
AwaySawicki5wins
7 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchaniel80%4 of 5
AwaySawicki80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schaniel5Sawicki5n = 10split evenly
S2Schaniel8Sawicki2n = 10Schaniel took 8 of 10
S3Schaniel6Sawicki4n = 10Schaniel took 6 of 10
S4Schaniel2Sawicki6n = 8Sawicki took 6 of 8
S5Schaniel3Sawicki4n = 7Sawicki took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchanielSawickiSchaniel − SawickiBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match44.839.7+5.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielSawickiBasisWin rate · lifetime870 / 1738 vs 355 / 88450.1%40.2%870 / 1738 vs 355 / 884Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.61/Sawicki 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schaniel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 4 · 07:20K. Schaniel—1111113G. Sawicki—8580
WJun 21 · 02:20K. Schaniel—1111113G. Sawicki—6670
LJun 20 · 18:20K. Schaniel—71391172G. Sawicki—1111113113
LJan 26 · 02:10K. Schaniel—981291G. Sawicki—111110113
WJan 25 · 20:10K. Schaniel—1111910173G. Sawicki—531112152
LOct 26 · 04:55K. Schaniel—61171152G. Sawicki—114115113
LOct 25 · 21:55K. Schaniel—11911972G. Sawicki—211911113
WMay 1 · 13:10K. Schaniel—811139113G. Sawicki—114111172
WMay 1 · 05:30K. Schaniel—1111109113G. Sawicki—84121172
LApr 21 · 03:55K. Schaniel—611121092G. Sawicki—1151012113
K. Schaniel10
WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 24:35K. Schaniel1.571111113A. Szurgot2.256870LSep 4 · 23:20K. Schaniel2.20911111152P. Gumulinski1.61119813113
G. Sawicki10
LSep 6 · 20:00G. Sawicki4.508960K. Juszczyk1.151111113LSep 6 · 18:45G. Sawicki1.605119131R. Ogon2.1011411153LSep 6 · 17:35G. Sawicki2.60531361S. Krupa1.41111111113WSep 6 · 16:25R. Adach1.85131111792G. Sawicki1.851113611113WSep 6 · 15:35G. Sawicki2.001111125133W. Jozala1.71781411112LSep 6 · 08:00G. Sawicki1.8511911362R. Idaczyk1.80911911113LSep 6 · 06:45G. Sawicki2.75116471K. Juszczyk1.3781111113WSep 6 · 05:35G. Sawicki3.9511711113K. Hetnar1.20711861WSep 6 · 04:25W. Pytlas1.30481191G. Sawicki3.1011119113WSep 6 · 03:35G. Sawicki2.5011614133P. Slosarczyk1.4441112111
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