TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13078064
Played Sep 5Finished
Krzysztof Schaniel
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Andrzej Szurgot
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Schaniel to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrzysztof Schaniel above · Andrzej Szurgot below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Krzysztof Schaniel at 63.5%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Schaniel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Schaniel 1294 vs Szurgot 1150
Schaniel
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schaniel 20% vs Szurgot 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schaniel 20% vs Szurgot 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schaniel -3 · Szurgot -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Schaniel) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szurgot form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchaniel 1.57 / Szurgot 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Schaniel)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13078064
Schaniel1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite59% won 216 of 364
Up 2–0, closes it89% 101 of 113
Up 1–0, closes it76% 159 of 208
Szurgot2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog18% won 6 of 33
Down 0–1, comes back16% 4 of 25
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchanielSzurgotBasisWin rate · lifetime869 / 1737 vs 12 / 5850%20.7%869 / 1737 vs 12 / 58Avg sets wonper match2.11.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.131.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
SchanielSchaniel 1.57/Szurgot 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Schaniel · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Schaniel won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Schaniel10
WSep 7 · 05:15K. Schaniel1.801112113R. Niemiec1.9191080LSep 7 · 04:10M. Adamus1.83131178113K. Schaniel1.83116111162LSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 7 · 02:00S. Krupa1.8371190K. Schaniel1.871113113WSep 7 · 01:10P. Adamus1.55101161152K. Schaniel2.25124118113WSep 7 · 24:25K. Schaniel1.27111110113R. Ogon3.20391241WSep 6 · 22:50K. Schaniel2.501111113J. Pruszkowski1.443980WSep 6 · 22:00J. Nowak2.60321141K. Schaniel1.4211117113WSep 5 · 01:45K. Schaniel1.611111113G. Sawicki2.205670LSep 4 · 23:20K. Schaniel2.20911111152P. Gumulinski1.61119813113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 6 · 04:40A. Szurgot4.802460P. Polok1.131111113LSep 6 · 03:05R. Szymik1.241111113A. Szurgot3.558580LSep 6 · 02:20L. Bernacki1.62911815113A. Szurgot2.17118111372LSep 6 · 01:30A. Szurgot2.604880R. Adach1.421111113WSep 6 · 24:20A. Szurgot2.61911811113R. Wiza1.4411711782LSep 5 · 22:40A. Szurgot4.503139111P. Polok1.17111111133LSep 5 · 21:05R. Szymik1.521111113A. Szurgot2.307460LSep 5 · 20:20R. Wiza1.591111113A. Szurgot2.186680LSep 5 · 19:30A. Szurgot2.203590R. Adach1.571111113LSep 5 · 18:20A. Szurgot3.05313471L. Bernacki1.31111111113
Upcoming Matches
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