TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13072510
Played Sep 3Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711511––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
1.76
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
911711511––––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 2–3 Grzegorz Jurowicz Jakub Kaczmarek has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 17:09What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Jurowicz
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1327 vs Jurowicz 1246
Kaczmarek
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 40% vs Jurowicz 20%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Jurowicz 30%
Kaczmarek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek +1 · Jurowicz -4
Jurowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaczmarek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 1.90 / Jurowicz 1.76
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+5.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13072510
Kaczmarek1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 161 of 492
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 320
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 179
Jurowicz1.76
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite47% won 55 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it93% 27 of 29
Up 1–0, closes it76% 45 of 59
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeKaczmarek2wins
AwayJurowicz3wins
2 of 5 to a deciderJurowicz leads 3–2, and 2 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarek66.7%2 of 3
AwayJurowiczn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek3Jurowicz2n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S2Kaczmarek3Jurowicz2n = 5Kaczmarek took 3 of 5
S3Kaczmarek1Jurowicz4n = 5Jurowicz took 4 of 5
S4Kaczmarek3Jurowicz0n = 3Kaczmarek took 3 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home120%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away240%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricKaczmarekJurowiczK − JBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match34.438.8−4.4per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime470 / 1289 vs 317 / 80136.5%39.6%470 / 1289 vs 317 / 801Avg sets wonper match1.61.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.935.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekKaczmarek 1.90/Jurowicz 1.76
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WMay 8 · 17:05J. Kaczmarek—1111113G. Jurowicz—5980
LApr 27 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek—51151152G. Jurowicz—119119113
WApr 27 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek—11128113G. Jurowicz—9101181
LSep 15 · 17:05J. Kaczmarek—3460G. Jurowicz—1111113
LAug 4 · 17:05J. Kaczmarek—11881192G. Jurowicz—811119113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590WSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 21:35K. Hetnar1.295890G. Jurowicz3.301111113LSep 3 · 20:45K. Adamus1.3311811113G. Jurowicz2.95611891LSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 18:25S. Szostok1.3512511113G. Jurowicz2.801011661LSep 3 · 15:35K. Hetnar1.261111113G. Jurowicz3.405670LAug 14 · 13:55G. Jurowicz4.0011890W. Wojtaszczyk1.221311113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.