TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075722
Played Sep 4Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12108111012811––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:38 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeWojciech Tobiasz to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
82 points played in total.
Set by set
12108111012811––
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 20–9 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 9 of their 29 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 05:38What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Tobiasz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-9 in 29
Tobiasz
Wrong
gap of 11 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1291 vs Kaczmarek 1310
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 60% vs Kaczmarek 20%
Tobiasz
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 50% vs Kaczmarek 30%
Tobiasz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz +1 · Kaczmarek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Tobiasz) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 1.60 / Kaczmarek 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Tobiasz)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13075722
Tobiasz1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite48% won 53 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it72% 39 of 54
Kaczmarek2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 166 of 508
Down 0–1, comes back18% 59 of 329
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 183
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTobiasz5wins
AwayKaczmarek5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiasz33.3%1 of 3
AwayKaczmarek42.9%3 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz3Kaczmarek7n = 10Kaczmarek took 7 of 10
S2Tobiasz6Kaczmarek4n = 10Tobiasz took 6 of 10
S3Tobiasz5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S4Tobiasz5Kaczmarek5n = 10split evenly
S5Tobiasz3Kaczmarek2n = 5Tobiasz took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTobiaszKaczmarekT − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match44.143.9+0.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime335 / 729 vs 470 / 129046%36.4%335 / 729 vs 470 / 1290Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TobiaszTobiasz 1.60/Kaczmarek 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58%
Tobiasz · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz—91181182J. Kaczmarek—119116113
LSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz—1281081J. Kaczmarek—101112113
WAug 14 · 14:45W. Tobiasz—911126113J. Kaczmarek—118101152
WAug 14 · 11:05W. Tobiasz—1111117113J. Kaczmarek—13691182
WJul 31 · 11:30W. Tobiasz—121113113J. Kaczmarek—1481191
LJul 31 · 07:55W. Tobiasz—9118101J. Kaczmarek—11411123
LJun 15 · 09:05W. Tobiasz—12581492J. Kaczmarek—10111112113
WApr 27 · 17:05W. Tobiasz—11511113J. Kaczmarek—711871
WApr 27 · 08:45W. Tobiasz—881111113J. Kaczmarek—11119832
LMar 16 · 16:55W. Tobiasz—814861J. Kaczmarek—111211113
W. Tobiasz10
LSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:40W. Tobiasz3.1051111572S. Szostok1.33116711113LSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741WSep 4 · 14:20R. Niemiec1.85514123122W. Tobiasz1.8511121011143LSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 12:20W. Tobiasz2.358911121O. Jadach1.5011117143LSep 4 · 10:40W. Tobiasz2.5088100S. Szostok1.461111123LSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120WSep 4 · 08:20O. Jadach1.351212971W. Tobiasz2.95141011113WSep 4 · 06:20W. Tobiasz1.86111111113R. Niemiec1.80513991
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380LSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113
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