TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13074420
Played Sep 4Finished
Grzegorz Wichowski
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119113118––––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:38 and never touched — 61.8% is still 61.8%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
61.8%
61.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
53 points played in total.
Set by set
119113118––––
H2H Grzegorz Wichowski 21–7 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 7 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-7 in 28
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 14 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wichowski 1412 vs Kaczmarek 1315
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 97 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wichowski 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wichowski 50% vs Kaczmarek 30%
Wichowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wichowski +1 · Kaczmarek -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWichowski 1.25 / Kaczmarek 3.50
Signal prob.79% / 22%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13074420
Wichowski1.25
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 251 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 124 of 127
Up 1–0, closes it83% 188 of 227
Kaczmarek3.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 164 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 324
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWichowski7wins
AwayKaczmarek3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWichowski87.5%7 of 8
AwayKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wichowski8Kaczmarek2n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S2Wichowski6Kaczmarek4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S3Wichowski6Kaczmarek4n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S4Wichowski5Kaczmarek2n = 7Wichowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWichowskiKaczmarekW − KBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match38.533.4+5.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWichowskiKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime567 / 921 vs 467 / 128561.6%36.3%567 / 921 vs 467 / 1285Avg sets wonper match2.31.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.835.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiWichowski 1.25/Kaczmarek 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
78.5%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 31 · 05:30G. Wichowski—1111123J. Kaczmarek—83100
WJun 15 · 08:20G. Wichowski—11116113J. Kaczmarek—671151
WMay 8 · 14:45G. Wichowski—11711113J. Kaczmarek—911991
LApr 27 · 14:45G. Wichowski—811811112J. Kaczmarek—119115133
WApr 27 · 11:05G. Wichowski—1111113J. Kaczmarek—7640
WMar 16 · 14:10G. Wichowski—1211113J. Kaczmarek—10950
LMar 16 · 06:30G. Wichowski—8111171J. Kaczmarek—11135113
LFeb 13 · 15:45G. Wichowski—127791J. Kaczmarek—101111113
WFeb 13 · 12:05G. Wichowski—11912113J. Kaczmarek—6111081
WSep 29 · 13:10G. Wichowski—11136113J. Kaczmarek—7111191
G. Wichowski10
WSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.3513115113W. Tobiasz2.851171121LSep 4 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.8611711362O. Jadach1.83411511113WSep 4 · 15:05G. Wichowski1.3721111113W. Tobiasz2.75113741LSep 4 · 13:55G. Wichowski1.85791121S. Szostok1.8511118113WSep 4 · 12:45R. Niemiec2.409440G. Wichowski1.501111113WSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 10:20G. Wichowski1.501351081R. Niemiec2.40111112113WSep 4 · 09:05G. Wichowski1.301111143W. Tobiasz3.1085120LSep 4 · 07:55G. Wichowski1.751011781S. Szostok1.9512511113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113
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