TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13077475
Played Sep 4Finished
Oskar Jadach
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1178111917113––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 62.1% is still 62.1%
Graded at full timeOskar Jadach to win
62.1%
62.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
1178111917113––
H2H Oskar Jadach 25–8 Jakub Kaczmarek Jakub Kaczmarek has won 8 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Jadach
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-8 in 33
Jadach
Correct
gap of 17 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Jadach 1431 vs Kaczmarek 1313
Jadach
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jadach 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jadach 40% vs Kaczmarek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Jadach -1 · Kaczmarek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Jadach) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJadach 1.25 / Kaczmarek 3.75
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Jadach)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13077475
Jadach1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 303 of 456
Up 2–0, closes it94% 141 of 150
Up 1–0, closes it85% 207 of 244
Kaczmarek3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 164 of 501
Down 0–1, comes back18% 58 of 324
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeJadach6wins
AwayKaczmarek4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderJadach leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeJadach75%6 of 8
AwayKaczmarekn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Jadach8Kaczmarek2n = 10Jadach took 8 of 10
S2Jadach4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Jadach4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S4Jadach3Kaczmarek2n = 5Jadach took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricJadachKaczmarekJ − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match34.532.0+2.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricJadachKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime789 / 1306 vs 470 / 129260.4%36.4%789 / 1306 vs 470 / 1292Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JadachJadach 1.25/Kaczmarek 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79%
Jadach · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Jadach won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach—1113153J. Kaczmarek—811130
WJul 31 · 16:40O. Jadach—11811113J. Kaczmarek—711581
LJul 31 · 06:20O. Jadach—1111791J. Kaczmarek—41311113
WJul 21 · 07:35O. Jadach—1111113J. Kaczmarek—7860
LMay 1 · 03:10O. Jadach—9960J. Kaczmarek—1111113
LApr 30 · 14:45O. Jadach—1136101J. Kaczmarek—91111123
WApr 30 · 11:05O. Jadach—11115113J. Kaczmarek—681171
WMar 31 · 16:25O. Jadach—1111113J. Kaczmarek—4250
WFeb 17 · 02:30O. Jadach—116611113J. Kaczmarek—81111772
LFeb 16 · 20:30O. Jadach—10860J. Kaczmarek—1211113
O. Jadach10
WSep 7 · 05:05O. Jadach1.441171413113M. Sikon2.62611161172LSep 7 · 03:30O. Jadach1.95116128112L. Oracz1.777111011133WSep 7 · 02:20O. Jadach1.42117611113G. Marud2.6051111422WSep 7 · 24:45O. Jadach1.927111111113M. Baron1.8011913652LSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:20M. Baron2.50118891O. Jadach1.4441111113LSep 6 · 21:30L. Oracz1.751111113O. Jadach1.926670WSep 6 · 20:45O. Jadach1.501111113M. Sikon2.408580WSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782WSep 6 · 18:20G. Marud3.00411731O. Jadach1.3211711113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380LSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113
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