TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13067190
Played Sep 3Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
16144111311115––
Marek Tkocz
Away
1.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:49 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timeMarek Tkocz to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
85 points played in total.
Set by set
16144111311115––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 0–14 Marek Tkocz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 0 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 20:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (74%)
Tkocz
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-14 in 14
Tkocz
Wrong
gap of 14 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1260 vs Tkocz 1464
Tkocz
Wrong
both rated, 205 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Tkocz 60%
Tkocz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 40% vs Tkocz 60%
Tkocz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz -1 · Tkocz +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Tkocz) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkocz form (60%) is below what odds imply (80%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 3.50 / Tkocz 1.25
Signal prob.20% / 80%
Edge (Tkocz)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13067190
Ruszkiewicz3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 131 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Tkocz1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 320 of 468
Up 2–0, closes it95% 181 of 190
Up 1–0, closes it84% 262 of 311
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz0wins
AwayTkocz10wins
Tkocz leads 10–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewiczn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayTkocz100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz1Tkocz9n = 10Tkocz took 9 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz1Tkocz9n = 10Tkocz took 9 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz0Tkocz10n = 10Tkocz took 10 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away880%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczTkoczR − TBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match21.035.8−14.8per matchSweeps08−83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczTkoczBasisWin rate · lifetime309 / 871 vs 757 / 112835.5%67.1%309 / 871 vs 757 / 1128Avg sets wonper match1.62.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkoczRuszkiewicz 3.50/Tkocz 1.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
80%
Tkocz · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 29 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz—10540M. Tkocz—1211113
LFeb 15 · 08:10A. Ruszkiewicz—3620M. Tkocz—1111113
LJan 23 · 09:20A. Ruszkiewicz—4960M. Tkocz—1111113
LDec 30 · 19:45A. Ruszkiewicz—73110M. Tkocz—1111133
LSep 25 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz—5640M. Tkocz—1111113
LSep 23 · 03:10A. Ruszkiewicz—6780M. Tkocz—1111113
LSep 16 · 07:35A. Ruszkiewicz—13118101M. Tkocz—15911123
LSep 5 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz—81070M. Tkocz—1112113
LSep 3 · 24:45A. Ruszkiewicz—3140M. Tkocz—1111113
LSep 2 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz—125751M. Tkocz—101111113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
M. Tkocz10
LSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 01:35G. Jurowicz2.951111113M. Tkocz1.337590LSep 3 · 23:35K. Hetnar1.901111113M. Tkocz1.754840WSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113WSep 3 · 20:20J. Kaczmarek5.0591161162M. Tkocz1.12116117113WSep 3 · 19:35G. Jurowicz3.30871161M. Tkocz1.2711114113LSep 3 · 17:35K. Hetnar2.051111133M. Tkocz1.6699110WSep 3 · 16:50S. Szostok1.93713761M. Tkocz1.77111111113LSep 3 · 15:10K. Adamus2.03111178113M. Tkocz1.6787111162LSep 2 · 02:00J. Nowak2.1011611113M. Tkocz1.65911791
Upcoming Matches
A. Ruszkiewicz
Nothing scheduled
M. Tkocz1 of 4 neutral
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