TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075466
Played Sep 4Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.26
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
113114115––––
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Away
3.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:58 and never touched — 75.9% is still 75.9%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
75.9%
75.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
113114115––––
H2H Marian Lebek 28–7 Adam Ruszkiewicz Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 7 of their 35 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:58What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.26 (74%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-7 in 35
Lebek
Correct
gap of 21 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1472 vs Ruszkiewicz 1323
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 60% vs Ruszkiewicz 80%
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Ruszkiewicz 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -2 · Ruszkiewicz +3
Ruszkiewicz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Lebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruszkiewicz form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.26 / Ruszkiewicz 3.50
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Lebek)+2.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13075466
Lebek1.26
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 245 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 258
Ruszkiewicz3.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 131 of 340
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek5wins
AwayRuszkiewicz5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek50%3 of 6
AwayRuszkiewicz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek6Ruszkiewicz4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S2Lebek5Ruszkiewicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Lebek5Ruszkiewicz4n = 9Lebek took 5 of 9
S4Lebek5Ruszkiewicz1n = 6Lebek took 5 of 6
S5Lebek1Ruszkiewicz3n = 4Ruszkiewicz took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekRuszkiewiczL − RBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.334.3+4.0per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekRuszkiewiczBasisWin rate · lifetime848 / 1465 vs 313 / 87657.9%35.7%848 / 1465 vs 313 / 876Avg sets wonper match2.21.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.935.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.26/Ruszkiewicz 3.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 4 · 24:00M. Lebek—81112952A. Ruszkiewicz—1181011113
LAug 25 · 08:45M. Lebek—119711102A. Ruszkiewicz—411116123
LAug 16 · 11:50M. Lebek—119101112A. Ruszkiewicz—911124113
LAug 6 · 05:35M. Lebek—51370A. Ruszkiewicz—1115113
LJul 19 · 14:20M. Lebek—1142A. Ruszkiewicz—9113
WJul 19 · 08:10M. Lebek—811911123A. Ruszkiewicz—115117102
WMar 24 · 05:00M. Lebek—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—9380
WFeb 27 · 05:35M. Lebek—131311113A. Ruszkiewicz—1511411
WFeb 24 · 05:00M. Lebek—1111113A. Ruszkiewicz—6930
WFeb 17 · 05:00M. Lebek—11911123A. Ruszkiewicz—4116101
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181WSep 3 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz2.60411461M. Lebek1.4111811113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
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