TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13075494
Played Sep 4Finished
Adam Ruszkiewicz
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161174111412––
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Ruszkiewicz to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
1161174111412––
H2H Adam Ruszkiewicz 5–6 Wojciech Urban Adam Ruszkiewicz has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:08What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Urban
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-6 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ruszkiewicz 1354 vs Urban 1400
Urban
Wrong
both rated, 46 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ruszkiewicz 80% vs Urban 40%
Ruszkiewicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ruszkiewicz 70% vs Urban 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ruszkiewicz +1 · Urban +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Urban) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRuszkiewicz 2.10 / Urban 1.60
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Urban)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13075494
Ruszkiewicz2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 135 of 341
Down 0–1, comes back23% 40 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 100
Urban1.60
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 181 of 309
Up 2–0, closes it96% 74 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it73% 127 of 173
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRuszkiewicz5wins
AwayUrban5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRuszkiewicz62.5%5 of 8
AwayUrbann = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ruszkiewicz8Urban2n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 8 of 10
S2Ruszkiewicz6Urban4n = 10Ruszkiewicz took 6 of 10
S3Ruszkiewicz1Urban9n = 10Urban took 9 of 10
S4Ruszkiewicz5Urban3n = 8Ruszkiewicz took 5 of 8
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricRuszkiewiczUrbanR − UBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.636.9−1.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRuszkiewiczUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 881 vs 732 / 155735.9%47%316 / 881 vs 732 / 1557Avg sets wonper match1.71.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.637.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UrbanRuszkiewicz 2.10/Urban 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Urban · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ruszkiewicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz—11114143W. Urban—6711121
WAug 6 · 08:00A. Ruszkiewicz—11113113W. Urban—971161
WJun 30 · 05:10A. Ruszkiewicz—111210113W. Urban—5101291
LMar 14 · 05:20A. Ruszkiewicz—3880W. Urban—1111113
WMar 13 · 19:45A. Ruszkiewicz—1315113W. Urban—111360
LFeb 20 · 07:00A. Ruszkiewicz—511761W. Urban—11611113
LNov 28 · 09:20A. Ruszkiewicz—119561W. Urban—71111113
WNov 26 · 17:50A. Ruszkiewicz—11116113W. Urban—851181
LNov 14 · 04:10A. Ruszkiewicz—149471W. Urban—121111113
LNov 11 · 07:25A. Ruszkiewicz—116101172W. Urban—411127113
A. Ruszkiewicz10
LSep 4 · 08:00M. Paszkiewicz1.55116129113A. Ruszkiewicz2.25711101182WSep 4 · 07:10P. Mecik1.908119141A. Ruszkiewicz1.7511811163WSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342LSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:45A. Ruszkiewicz1.651111113G. Jurowicz2.101840WSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111WSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952LSep 3 · 22:25A. Ruszkiewicz3.35121031182K. Hetnar1.271012117113WSep 3 · 21:10A. Ruszkiewicz3.5016413113M. Tkocz1.2514111151LSep 2 · 20:00W. Jozala2.2081112113A. Ruszkiewicz1.601141051
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 04:50M. Lebek1.75166111152W. Urban1.95181178113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
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