TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13069241
Played Sep 3Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1618611117118511
Wojciech Urban
Away
1.95
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:08 and never touched — 57.8% is still 57.8%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
57.8%
57.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
104 points played in total.
Set by set
1618611117118511
H2H Marian Lebek 30–21 Wojciech Urban Wojciech Urban has won 21 of their 51 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:08What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-21 in 51
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 9 in 51, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1458 vs Urban 1405
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 40% vs Urban 80%
Urban
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 70% vs Urban 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -3 · Urban +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Urban form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.75 / Urban 1.95
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Lebek)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13069241
Lebek1.75
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 245 of 396
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 162
Up 1–0, closes it81% 210 of 258
Urban1.95
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 218 of 551
Down 0–1, comes back20% 60 of 308
Down 0–2, comes back6% 12 of 190
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek7wins
AwayUrban3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek100%6 of 6
AwayUrban75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek6Urban4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S2Lebek6Urban4n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S3Lebek7Urban3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S4Lebek4Urban4n = 8split evenly
S5Lebek2Urban1n = 3Lebek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekUrbanL − UBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.034.5+6.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekUrbanBasisWin rate · lifetime847 / 1462 vs 727 / 154857.9%47%847 / 1462 vs 727 / 1548Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.75/Urban 1.95
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Urban won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 21:10M. Lebek—111110113W. Urban—381291
WSep 2 · 06:45M. Lebek—11811113W. Urban—711751
WSep 1 · 23:10M. Lebek—11911113W. Urban—811481
LAug 28 · 05:35M. Lebek—71111942W. Urban—113311113
WAug 26 · 07:35M. Lebek—1111113W. Urban—8840
WAug 20 · 07:35M. Lebek—1311118113W. Urban—15581162
LAug 20 · 01:35M. Lebek—7711111W. Urban—11115133
WAug 19 · 01:35M. Lebek—1111113W. Urban—6810
LAug 14 · 07:10M. Lebek—313971W. Urban—111111113
WAug 12 · 08:20M. Lebek—1410711123W. Urban—1212114102
M. Lebek10
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113WSep 4 · 06:45M. Paszkiewicz2.805680M. Lebek1.371111113LSep 4 · 06:00P. Mecik3.1011119113M. Lebek1.33861181LSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113WSep 4 · 04:00M. Lebek1.261111113A. Ruszkiewicz3.503450WSep 4 · 02:20M. Lebek1.921111113M. Tkocz1.767960LSep 4 · 24:45K. Hetnar1.681011811113M. Lebek2.0312211852LSep 4 · 24:00A. Ruszkiewicz3.601181011113M. Lebek1.2381112952WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek1.3511511113G. Jurowicz2.95611171WSep 3 · 22:00M. Lebek2.0511113113K. Adamus1.66961181
W. Urban10
WSep 4 · 08:45P. Mecik2.0549111182W. Urban1.66111155113WSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 06:25A. Ruszkiewicz2.1011114143W. Urban1.606711121WSep 4 · 05:10M. Lebek1.5066111182W. Urban2.35111157113LSep 4 · 03:35M. Paszkiewicz2.401111113W. Urban1.507950LSep 3 · 08:20O. Sokolowski2.17101111113W. Urban1.59129371LSep 3 · 07:35A. Burkacki1.951111123W. Urban1.7553100WSep 3 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz2.2561450W. Urban1.541116113WSep 3 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.309117131W. Urban1.5511911153WSep 3 · 02:20O. Sokolowski2.25118911102W. Urban1.55711112123
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