TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058134
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
611811116119115
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 89 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Kacper Adamus at 59.7%
89 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 0–2 Kacper Adamus Piotr Brozek has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1411 vs Adamus 1479
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 40% vs Adamus 80%
Adamus
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Adamus 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Adamus +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adamus form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.91 / Adamus 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Adamus)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13058134
Brozek1.91
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 20 of 42
Down 0–1, comes back18% 4 of 22
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Adamus1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 347 of 570
Up 2–0, closes it98% 191 of 195
Up 1–0, closes it78% 277 of 355
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBrozek0wins
AwayAdamus2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderAdamus leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricBrozekAdamusB − ABasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match47.552.5−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime75 / 140 vs 926 / 171153.6%54.1%75 / 140 vs 926 / 1711Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.338.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusBrozek 1.91/Adamus 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LMay 6 · 15:55P. Brozek—991661K. Adamus—111114113
LMay 6 · 09:55P. Brozek—1610611122K. Adamus—1412117143
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113WSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113
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