TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062213
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1191111113711––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOliver Vincenec to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 1-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oliver Vincenec at 54.0%
74 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–0 Oliver Vincenec Oliver Vincenec has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:03What took a side0 for · 2 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1437 vs Vincenec 1330
Brozek
Wrong
both rated, 107 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 40% vs Vincenec 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Vincenec 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +1 · Vincenec -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.73 / Vincenec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13062213
Brozek1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Vincenec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog40% won 194 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 73 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back10% 14 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayVincenec0wins
Brozek leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricBrozekVincenecB − VBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match34.021.0+13.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 147 vs 633 / 140653.7%45%79 / 147 vs 633 / 1406Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.73/Vincenec 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vincenec won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek—1112113O. Vincenec—61050
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970LSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050
Upcoming Matches
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