TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13062251
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119114117––––
Wiktor Ptak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Wiktor Ptak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 59.7%
53 points played in total.
H2H Piotr Brozek 1–2 Wiktor Ptak Piotr Brozek has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:33What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Ptak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1422 vs Ptak 1357
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 40% vs Ptak 60%
Ptak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 60% vs Ptak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek -1 · Ptak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.83 / Ptak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13062251
Brozek1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Ptak1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeBrozek1wins
AwayPtak2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPtak leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBrozekn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayPtak66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Brozek0Ptak3n = 3Ptak took 3 of 3
S2Brozek2Ptak1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S3Brozek2Ptak1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S4Brozek2Ptak1n = 3Brozek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricBrozekPtakB − PBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match38.742.0−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekPtakBasisWin rate · lifetime79 / 148 vs 76 / 13353.4%57.1%79 / 148 vs 76 / 133Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.83/Ptak 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek—101271162W. Ptak—1210116113
WJul 9 · 13:10P. Brozek—71111113W. Ptak—115991
LJul 9 · 05:30P. Brozek—651181W. Ptak—11119113
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:15P. Brozek1.731112113O. Vincenec2.0061050WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161LSep 2 · 08:10W. Ptak1.67791191O. Vincenec2.1011119113WSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113LSep 2 · 04:55W. Ptak2.10148991K. Adamus1.67121111113WSep 2 · 03:50W. Ptak1.6711711113P. Przewlocki2.10811981LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
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