TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13059601
Played Sep 2Finished
Wiktor Ptak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1412811911911––
Kacper Adamus
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:57 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeKacper Adamus to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWiktor Ptak above · Kacper Adamus below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 85 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Kacper Adamus at 55.8%
85 points played in total.
H2H Wiktor Ptak 0–1 Kacper Adamus Wiktor Ptak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Adamus
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ptak 1330 vs Adamus 1465
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ptak 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ptak 40% vs Adamus 60%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ptak +1 · Adamus -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Adamus)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPtak 2.10 / Adamus 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Adamus)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13059601
Ptak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 11 of 30
Down 0–1, comes back24% 4 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Adamus1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite61% won 352 of 579
Up 2–0, closes it98% 193 of 198
Up 1–0, closes it78% 282 of 363
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePtak0wins
AwayAdamus1wins
Adamus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPtakAdamusP − ABasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match28.038.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPtakAdamusBasisWin rate · lifetime72 / 126 vs 925 / 171057.1%54.1%72 / 126 vs 925 / 1710Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusPtak 2.10/Adamus 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 7 · 09:55W. Ptak—14590K. Adamus—1611113
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161LSep 2 · 08:10W. Ptak1.67791191O. Vincenec2.1011119113WSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113WSep 2 · 03:50W. Ptak1.6711711113P. Przewlocki2.10811981LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
K. Adamus10
WSep 5 · 08:45K. Adamus1.4711119143W. Pytlas2.458611121WSep 5 · 07:10K. Adamus1.66118115113J. Jesiek2.1081191162LSep 5 · 06:00K. Adamus2.456850P. Zemla1.471111113WSep 5 · 04:25K. Adamus1.391111113R. Adach2.706740LSep 5 · 03:10K. Adamus1.3598111492O. Sokolowski2.801111712113WSep 4 · 02:00K. Hetnar1.5110101191K. Adamus2.3412129113LSep 4 · 01:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.5014812133K. Adamus1.45121110111LSep 4 · 24:25K. Adamus1.35981212102G. Jurowicz2.9511111010123LSep 3 · 22:50K. Adamus1.88781191M. Tkocz1.8211115113WSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
W. Ptak
Nothing scheduled
K. Adamus
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