TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058126
Played Sep 2Finished
Wiktor Ptak
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118711119118––
Piotr Przewlocki
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:22 and never touched — 58.6% is still 58.6%
Graded at full timeWiktor Ptak to win
58.6%
58.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingWiktor Ptak above · Piotr Przewlocki below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 76 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Wiktor Ptak at 58.6%
76 points played in total.
H2H Wiktor Ptak 2–0 Piotr Przewlocki Piotr Przewlocki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:22What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Ptak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Ptak 1317 vs Przewlocki 1377
Przewlocki
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ptak 20% vs Przewlocki 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ptak 30% vs Przewlocki 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ptak -1 · Przewlocki -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Ptak) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Przewlocki form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPtak 1.67 / Przewlocki 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Ptak)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13058126
Ptak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 53 of 82
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it80% 41 of 51
Przewlocki2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 121 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back24% 46 of 189
Down 0–2, comes back10% 9 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePtak2wins
AwayPrzewlocki0wins
Ptak leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPtakPrzewlockiPtak − PrzewlockiBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match52.046.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPtakPrzewlockiBasisWin rate · lifetime71 / 125 vs 507 / 107256.8%47.3%71 / 125 vs 507 / 1072Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PtakPtak 1.67/Przewlocki 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Ptak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ptak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WJul 27 · 13:30W. Ptak—22119133P. Przewlocki—20711111
WJul 27 · 07:30W. Ptak—111413113P. Przewlocki—13121171
W. Ptak10
LSep 2 · 14:20W. Ptak1.61781191O. Vincenec2.2011119113LSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470WSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 11:00W. Ptak2.108490K. Adamus1.671111113WSep 2 · 09:50W. Ptak1.5011127113J. Kaczmarek2.508101161LSep 2 · 08:10W. Ptak1.67791191O. Vincenec2.1011119113WSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 05:40J. Kaczmarek2.5012101191W. Ptak1.5014126113LSep 2 · 04:55W. Ptak2.10148991K. Adamus1.67121111113LSep 1 · 14:20W. Ptak1.67115119102M. Baron2.10911611123
P. Przewlocki10
LSep 7 · 07:20P. Przewlocki1.5311961182R. Niemiec2.38911115113LSep 7 · 06:05J. Pruszkowski1.5311817113P. Przewlocki2.385111581WSep 7 · 04:55J. Nowak1.83111351292P. Przewlocki1.835111114113WSep 7 · 03:25K. Schaniel1.7310911131P. Przewlocki2.0012116153WSep 2 · 14:40P. Przewlocki2.101151111113K. Adamus1.6791113992LSep 2 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.53811114102J. Kaczmarek2.38119611123LSep 2 · 11:50P. Przewlocki2.6371113562W. Ptak1.441181111113LSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:00P. Przewlocki1.674590O. Vincenec2.101111113WSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123
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