TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13058694
Played Sep 2Finished
Piotr Brozek
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161210115––––
Oliver Vincenec
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:02 and never touched — 54.5% is still 54.5%
Graded at full timePiotr Brozek to win
54.5%
54.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPiotr Brozek above · Oliver Vincenec below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 55 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Piotr Brozek at 54.5%
55 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:02What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Brozek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Brozek 1432 vs Vincenec 1351
Brozek
Correct
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Brozek 80% vs Vincenec 60%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Brozek 70% vs Vincenec 50%
Brozek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Brozek +2 · Vincenec +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Brozek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Brozek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBrozek 1.73 / Vincenec 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Brozek)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13058694
Brozek1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite58% won 48 of 83
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it79% 38 of 48
Vincenec2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 194 of 490
Down 0–1, comes back25% 73 of 296
Down 0–2, comes back10% 14 of 146
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBrozekVincenecBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 142 vs 631 / 140154.2%45%77 / 142 vs 631 / 1401Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BrozekBrozek 1.73/Vincenec 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Brozek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Brozek won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Brozek10
LSep 2 · 13:55P. Brozek1.40881461J. Kaczmarek2.75111112113WSep 2 · 12:40P. Brozek1.831111113W. Ptak1.839470LSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113WSep 2 · 10:10P. Przewlocki2.201071191P. Brozek1.6112119113LSep 2 · 09:25P. Brozek1.80491281K. Adamus1.86111110113LSep 2 · 07:45P. Brozek1.50781311102P. Przewlocki2.501111119123LSep 2 · 06:30P. Brozek1.73101271162W. Ptak2.001210116113WSep 2 · 04:10J. Kaczmarek2.63169661P. Brozek1.44141111113WSep 2 · 03:25P. Brozek1.91681111113K. Adamus1.8011116952LAug 31 · 14:40P. Brozek1.1151111892I. Szymanski6.00117411113
O. Vincenec10
LSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:30O. Vincenec1.8311101111113J. Jesiek1.8391213882WSep 6 · 12:15J. Wieczerzak1.2891211442O. Vincenec3.501110911113WSep 6 · 11:00P. Jedrzejak1.401014611112O. Vincenec2.751212119133LSep 6 · 09:25Z. Sobkow1.5011811113O. Vincenec2.50611951LSep 6 · 08:35J. Wieczerzak1.401111113O. Vincenec2.757660WSep 6 · 07:20O. Vincenec1.831111113J. Jesiek1.835670LSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191LSep 6 · 04:55P. Jedrzejak1.441111113O. Vincenec2.634970WSep 2 · 11:25P. Brozek1.731111171O. Vincenec2.0091113113
Upcoming Matches
P. Brozek
O. Vincenec1 of 1 neutral
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