TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13028590
Played Aug 27Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
711119511116119
Milosz Cesarz
Away
3.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:40 and never touched — 62.2% is still 62.2%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
62.2%
62.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
91 points played in total.
Set by set
711119511116119
H2H Yurij Fomin 5–0 Milosz Cesarz Milosz Cesarz has won 0 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:40What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-0 in 5
Fomin
Correct
gap of 5 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1363 vs Cesarz 1123
Fomin
Correct
both rated, 240 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Cesarz 20%
Fomin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Cesarz 10%
Fomin
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -1 · Cesarz -4
Cesarz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cesarz form (20%) is below what odds imply (30%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.30 / Cesarz 3.30
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Fomin)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13028590
Fomin1.30
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite68% won 91 of 134
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it88% 59 of 67
Cesarz3.30
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 68 of 271
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 188
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 127
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeFomin5wins
AwayCesarz0wins
1 of 5 to a deciderFomin leads 5–0, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%3 of 3
AwayCesarzn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin3Cesarz2n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
S2Fomin5Cesarz0n = 5Fomin took 5 of 5
S3Fomin3Cesarz2n = 5Fomin took 3 of 5
S4Fomin3Cesarz0n = 3Fomin took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricFominCesarzF − CBasisWins50+5in 5 meetingsFirst set32+1of 5Avg pointsper match39.028.4+10.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominCesarzBasisWin rate · lifetime256 / 521 vs 152 / 54349.1%28%256 / 521 vs 152 / 543Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.033.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.30/Cesarz 3.30
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.1%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Fomin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin—711511113M. Cesarz—11911692
WMay 29 · 04:25Y. Fomin—1111113M. Cesarz—6860
WMay 15 · 07:35Y. Fomin—1111113M. Cesarz—9570
WMay 8 · 04:25Y. Fomin—91111113M. Cesarz—116931
WOct 31 · 05:25Y. Fomin—11119113M. Cesarz—361161
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113WAug 27 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.5121111113W. Jozala2.35119351LAug 27 · 05:35Y. Fomin2.3857120M. Lebek1.531111143WAug 27 · 04:25P. Kurek1.9031211582Y. Fomin1.801110811113
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113LSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski1.258111216153M. Cesarz3.451181414132LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.9598100J. Kaczmarek1.351111123LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.25111250O. Sokolowski1.571314113LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113LAug 25 · 05:05M. Cesarz2.507550P. Slosarczyk1.441111113
Upcoming Matches
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