TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13028361
Played Aug 27Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3111210118511811
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:12 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
3111210118511811
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:12What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1411 vs Fomin 1349
Kurek
Wrong
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 80% vs Fomin 40%
Kurek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 70% vs Fomin 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +4 · Fomin +1
Kurek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 1.90 / Fomin 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fomin)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13028361
Kurek1.90
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 113 of 282
Down 0–1, comes back25% 40 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back8% 7 of 89
Fomin1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
As favourite67% won 88 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it88% 58 of 66
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekFominBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 703 vs 253 / 51749.6%48.9%349 / 703 vs 253 / 517Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
FominKurek 1.90/Fomin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fomin won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
P. Kurek10
LSep 7 · 04:40G. Marud1.8571111113P. Kurek1.85116651WSep 7 · 03:55M. Sikon2.8081411101P. Kurek1.38111213123LSep 7 · 01:55M. Baron1.9011813113P. Kurek1.755111151LSep 7 · 01:10L. Oracz1.451111113P. Kurek2.453280WSep 6 · 23:30O. Jadach1.6071112682P. Kurek2.101191011113WSep 6 · 22:40G. Marud1.8681191132P. Kurek1.80118119113WSep 6 · 21:55M. Sikon2.356660P. Kurek1.501111113WSep 6 · 19:55M. Baron2.124680P. Kurek1.621111113LSep 6 · 19:10O. Jadach1.55119511113P. Kurek2.2581111782LSep 6 · 17:30L. Oracz1.371112511113P. Kurek2.7561411662
Y. Fomin10
LSep 7 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.8561111692W. Tobiasz1.85110711113LSep 7 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.3441111113Y. Fomin2.90118741WSep 7 · 05:55Y. Fomin2.351211123S. Szostok1.50108100WSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek1.36117891Y. Fomin2.8541111113LSep 4 · 07:35W. Urban1.83911811123Y. Fomin1.86118118102LSep 4 · 05:35M. Paszkiewicz1.831213113Y. Fomin1.83101180LSep 4 · 04:50A. Ruszkiewicz1.861181111113Y. Fomin1.8171181342WSep 4 · 03:10P. Mecik2.107560Y. Fomin1.661111113WAug 27 · 08:00Y. Fomin1.5121111113W. Jozala2.35119351WAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692
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