TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057099
Played Sep 1Finished
Milosz Cesarz
Home
2.95
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9118111012––––
Jakub Kaczmarek
Away
1.35
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:34 and never touched — 70.1% is still 70.1%
Graded at full timeJakub Kaczmarek to win
70.1%
70.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
9118111012––––
H2H Milosz Cesarz 15–38 Jakub Kaczmarek Milosz Cesarz has won 15 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 03:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.35 (69%)
Kaczmarek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-38 in 53
Kaczmarek
Correct
gap of 23 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cesarz 1118 vs Kaczmarek 1292
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 175 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cesarz 0% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Kaczmarek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cesarz 10% vs Kaczmarek 40%
Kaczmarek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cesarz -5 · Kaczmarek +1
Cesarz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Kaczmarek) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaczmarek form (40%) is below what odds imply (74%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCesarz 2.95 / Kaczmarek 1.35
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Kaczmarek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13057099
Cesarz2.95
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 66 of 265
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 185
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 125
Kaczmarek1.35
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 70 of 119
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it80% 55 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCesarz4wins
AwayKaczmarek6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKaczmarek leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCesarz50%2 of 4
AwayKaczmarek66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cesarz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S2Cesarz4Kaczmarek6n = 10Kaczmarek took 6 of 10
S3Cesarz8Kaczmarek2n = 10Cesarz took 8 of 10
S4Cesarz2Kaczmarek8n = 10Kaczmarek took 8 of 10
S5Cesarz2Kaczmarek2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricCesarzKaczmarekC − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.443.1−2.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCesarzKaczmarekBasisWin rate · lifetime152 / 544 vs 464 / 127627.9%36.4%152 / 544 vs 464 / 1276Avg sets wonper match1.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match33.435.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaczmarekCesarz 2.95/Kaczmarek 1.35
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73%
Kaczmarek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 7 · 11:50M. Cesarz—1081161J. Kaczmarek—12119113
WAug 7 · 07:45M. Cesarz—811113113J. Kaczmarek—11691132
LAug 6 · 08:45M. Cesarz—13135982J. Kaczmarek—11111111113
LAug 4 · 04:50M. Cesarz—9611121J. Kaczmarek—11118143
WJul 28 · 08:45M. Cesarz—51411113J. Kaczmarek—1112781
LJul 21 · 03:10M. Cesarz—11811782J. Kaczmarek—811811113
WJul 17 · 08:45M. Cesarz—11711113J. Kaczmarek—711561
LJul 10 · 08:45M. Cesarz—3181191J. Kaczmarek—11208113
LJul 7 · 06:25M. Cesarz—751181J. Kaczmarek—11117113
WJun 22 · 09:25M. Cesarz—111135113J. Kaczmarek—77111172
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113LSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski1.258111216153M. Cesarz3.451181414132LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.25111250O. Sokolowski1.571314113LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113LAug 25 · 05:05M. Cesarz2.507550P. Slosarczyk1.441111113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 4 · 17:05R. Niemiec1.85611951J. Kaczmarek1.8011811113LSep 4 · 15:55J. Kaczmarek3.901181281S. Szostok1.2291114113LSep 4 · 14:45O. Jadach1.2511819113J. Kaczmarek3.757111731WSep 4 · 13:30W. Tobiasz1.5791181182J. Kaczmarek2.20119116113LSep 4 · 11:55G. Wichowski1.20115911113J. Kaczmarek3.8541111792LSep 4 · 11:05O. Jadach1.301113153J. Kaczmarek3.20811130LSep 4 · 09:55J. Kaczmarek3.3591131172S. Szostok1.27119119113WSep 4 · 08:45R. Niemiec1.8581411972J. Kaczmarek1.801112911113WSep 4 · 07:30W. Tobiasz1.601281081J. Kaczmarek2.10101112113LSep 4 · 05:55G. Wichowski1.251111113J. Kaczmarek3.509380
Upcoming Matches
M. Cesarz
J. Kaczmarek
Sep 7 · 10:10J. Kaczmarek2.10W. Urban1.67—Sep 7 · 11:50J. Kaczmarek4.00K. Hetnar1.22—Sep 7 · 13:05J. Kaczmarek2.00M. Adamus1.73—Sep 7 · 14:40J. Kaczmarek2.20P. Przewlocki1.61—Sep 8 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek—M. Adamus——Sep 8 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek—K. Hetnar——Sep 8 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek—A. Ruszkiewicz——Sep 8 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek—R. Skotniczny——Sep 8 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek—M. Cesarz——
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