TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057313
Played Sep 1Finished
Piotr Gumulinski
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
811118121416141513
Milosz Cesarz
Away
3.45
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:43 and never touched — 67.3% is still 67.3%
Graded at full timePiotr Gumulinski to win
67.3%
67.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
122 points played in total.
Set by set
811118121416141513
H2H Piotr Gumulinski 9–6 Milosz Cesarz Milosz Cesarz has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 04:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (73%)
Gumulinski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Gumulinski
Correct
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gumulinski 1406 vs Cesarz 1095
Gumulinski
Correct
both rated, 311 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gumulinski 60% vs Cesarz 0%
Gumulinski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gumulinski 60% vs Cesarz 10%
Gumulinski
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gumulinski -1 · Cesarz -5
Cesarz
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Gumulinski) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cesarz form (0%) is below what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGumulinski 1.25 / Cesarz 3.45
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Gumulinski)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13057313
Gumulinski1.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 336 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it92% 154 of 167
Up 1–0, closes it75% 228 of 306
Cesarz3.45
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog24% won 62 of 261
Down 0–1, comes back11% 20 of 184
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGumulinski6wins
AwayCesarz4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGumulinski leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGumulinski71.4%5 of 7
AwayCesarz66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gumulinski7Cesarz3n = 10Gumulinski took 7 of 10
S2Gumulinski6Cesarz4n = 10Gumulinski took 6 of 10
S3Gumulinski4Cesarz6n = 10Cesarz took 6 of 10
S4Gumulinski3Cesarz4n = 7Cesarz took 4 of 7
S5Gumulinski2Cesarz1n = 3Gumulinski took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGumulinskiCesarzG − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.036.5+3.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGumulinskiCesarzBasisWin rate · lifetime1018 / 1808 vs 150 / 53856.3%27.9%1018 / 1808 vs 150 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.333.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GumulinskiGumulinski 1.25/Cesarz 3.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Gumulinski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Gumulinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 1 · 06:45P. Gumulinski—8111216153M. Cesarz—1181414132
LMay 15 · 08:45P. Gumulinski—11711782M. Cesarz—611911113
WApr 28 · 08:45P. Gumulinski—111189133M. Cesarz—361111112
WApr 24 · 08:45P. Gumulinski—1111133M. Cesarz—47110
LApr 21 · 05:10P. Gumulinski—81090M. Cesarz—1112113
LApr 14 · 08:20P. Gumulinski—71011101M. Cesarz—11126123
WApr 7 · 07:35P. Gumulinski—1111113M. Cesarz—4880
LMar 17 · 04:35P. Gumulinski—1171031M. Cesarz—91112113
WOct 29 · 07:00P. Gumulinski—11113113M. Cesarz—571171
WOct 13 · 01:30P. Gumulinski—12118113M. Cesarz—1031111
P. Gumulinski10
WSep 6 · 14:40P. Gumulinski1.731011511113O. Vincenec2.0012511862WSep 6 · 13:05P. Gumulinski2.1011111311113J. Wieczerzak1.6713615652WSep 6 · 11:50P. Gumulinski2.6391211113P. Jedrzejak1.441110661WSep 6 · 10:10P. Gumulinski2.11117119113Z. Sobkow1.6281161192WSep 6 · 09:00P. Gumulinski1.5011147123J. Jesiek2.5071211101WSep 6 · 07:45Z. Sobkow1.8011991592P. Gumulinski1.915111113113WSep 6 · 06:55J. Wieczerzak1.6191111782P. Gumulinski2.20114911113WSep 6 · 06:05P. Gumulinski1.5711118113O. Vincenec2.25671191WSep 6 · 04:30P. Gumulinski1.50111110113J. Jesiek2.50751281LSep 6 · 03:50P. Jedrzejak1.441111113P. Gumulinski2.636940
M. Cesarz10
LSep 1 · 08:20M. Cesarz4.554970P. Adamus1.151111113LSep 1 · 06:00A. Ruszkiewicz1.58111111113M. Cesarz2.19613691LSep 1 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.9598100J. Kaczmarek1.351111123LSep 1 · 04:00M. Cesarz3.80146771R. Idaczyk1.21121111113LAug 27 · 08:20M. Cesarz5.7011491192M. Lebek1.09511119113LAug 27 · 06:45Y. Fomin1.30711511113M. Cesarz3.3011911692LAug 27 · 06:00P. Kurek1.251111113M. Cesarz3.609860LAug 27 · 05:10M. Cesarz2.25111250O. Sokolowski1.571314113LAug 27 · 04:00M. Cesarz2.554370W. Jozala1.421111113LAug 25 · 05:05M. Cesarz2.507550P. Slosarczyk1.441111113
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